michaelnielsen.bsky.social
Searching for the numinous
Australian Canadian, currently living in the US
https://michaelnotebook.com
940 posts
6,398 followers
571 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
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"Maybe if we add another rule / consultation that will help fix the decay" is kinda an attempt at distilling the inverse philosophy...
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Good choice
(I just listened to Serkis read "The Silmarillion" and "The Lord of the Rings", and it was great!)
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Thanks. Ugh
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Do you know what happened with this? I missed that Cremieux was invited (and would likely have declined to participate had I known)
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Yeah, I had people like Ostrom, Mancur Olson, Schelling, Axelrod, and even Fukuyama in mind - really, the whole game-theoretic foundations for the evolution of co-operation
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At some point I realized that everything online breaks, so what you want is handwritten static files hosted in the most stable place you can think of. GitHub Pages will eventually die, but I think that site is safe for a while...
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Thanks. I'm certainly never going to be known for my design skills...
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Or, um,
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ChatGPT, took 10 seconds for me to type the prompt
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Congratulations!
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You might well be able to write quite a funny paper about "Emergent stupidity" ("we trained it to be anti-woke, and everything else got worse too...")
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I mean two people who think they're working on homework at school, but are actually talking about shampoo. One of them just expressed surprise that their work is taking so long. I refrained from commenting "That's because you've only worked 10 mins over 2 hours..."
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Exactly. "Imp" might fit better - there's not much malice in it, but it is a little annoying...
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It's the single most helpful feature on Twitter for maintaining high quality conversation in one's mentions
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The lack of softblocking drives me crazy. Bsky is great in so many ways, but the inability to remove followers makes the experience much worse...
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Yes, quite
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Which are relatively unsycophantic? I want one that is broadly sympathetic, but 4o just seems crazy with "you're so awesome!"
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People working on AI aren't going to be greeted as a saviour by hundreds of millions of people who fear losing their job
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It's going to happen at a far more enormous scale than Google caused, very soon, I expect, and faster. And in best case it is not going to be pretty, and the people who work on things like RL and AV are not going to be heroes to everyone...
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... and her husband had had a kid assuming things would get better or stay the same. And she told me they were worried sick about paying for all the expenses coming down the line (college etc). And she knew it was Google etc. I think a lot about that conversation
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People don't like losing their careers. And there's likely to be a lot of that the next few years
I talked to a journalist at a major publication in ~2012 about her prior 10 years. She said (w/o rancour) that she'd gone from fulltime w/ benefits at 90k (and awards!) to contract making ~25k. She...
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I expect people who work on autonomous vehicles in particular will be especially popular with truck drivers. Not to mention all the people who are going to be killed by robots on the battlefield. Militaries aren't funding autonomous vehicles to help consumers...
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Exactly
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There's gonna be several orders of magnitude more ire than that, I rather suspect...
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I'm sure your intentions are good. Joe Weizenbaum wrote a great piece on this phenomenon, 39 years ago dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
He missed a lot, but that piece is still terrific. Much may be summarized as: intentions don't count for much, think about the systemic outcomes you contribute to
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You are working on a technology that a lot of people fear is going to be enormously damaging to their lives. Some (maybe all) of those people are going to be correct...
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I think AI will get a *lot* more hated (and loved) over the next few years. And that makes a lot of sense, considering the impact it's going to have on people
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I also love Tal Yarkoni's post: talyarkoni.org/blog/2018/10...
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... Paul David's superb long paper on the origins of open science (papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... ), which is one version of this question. And political economists like Elinor Ostrom and Mancur Olson and many others have addressed collective action in a broader context
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It's very partial and incomplete, and not so focused on certain collective action problems (which is more what you're pointing at), though we do discuss them a bit. Unfortunately, I don't think anyone's ever really tackled that at book length. I do like...
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Neat!
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You'd certainly know much better than I!
I recall a flurry of papers and interest in the mid-2000s, I think driven by a breakthrough of Irit Dinur. Which got me interested enough to write up my quick outsider notes
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A couple of personal examples: my early work on quantum computing, beginning in 1992, and on open science from ~2006-2011
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Example: The person beside me is writing a paper on spectral gaps in expander graphs. Which I think used to be a lot more fashionable than today, sadly, though I wouldn't say it was very unfashionable. Come to think of it, I have some notes on that too: web.archive.org/web/20120326...
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I've written two book-length pieces about it (and many shorter things). The more recent: scienceplusplus.org/metascience/...
(This is mostly about the "what to?" question, addressing it at a systems level, rather than a microscopic level. I've done that plenty, too, though not at such length)