mjamurphy.bsky.social
I'm an applied economist interested in how we get better at interacting with natural systems.
Personal account, mostly focused on economic development and global public health. Some chess, football etc.
264 posts
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I am interested in the functional form [accusatory]
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I remain appalled Sally Rooney didn't name her last novel Zwischenzug!
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hbd
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If you wait for the rain to stop, Scotland's quite pretty
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I guarantee every commentator will get it right so long as you only listen to Derek Rae.
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reinventing the Holy Roman Empire from first principles
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Thoughts with your family, hopefully this madness will end soon.
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This looks really interesting- thanks Sam!
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You can read it to the biologists while they're schlepping whale calves of whatever.
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Right, I think there's a lot we don't know about farmer adaptation, land use change etc. but I do think this is close to the best we can do with current methods and data.
(And while you don't get points for data work, this is an impressive amount of data work).
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Without getting too into the weeds, all I'd say is all modelling depends on assumptions but there's no shortage of econ models that are plain lousy on their own terms and this is not that.
On crop mixes, that's true but otoh at least for LMICs there's not a lot of evidence of adaptation so far.
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thanks vincent2008
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I don't think that's a fair characterization- they use actual empirical data on crop temp & rain responses to generate forecasts. It relies upon some assumptions, but that's true of any quant study.
I have some issues on 1st read (wheat responses look weird) but I wouldn't dismiss this out of hand.
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I remember my great-granny, who was born when Victoria was on the throne.
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For sure, but we should also be clear we are already making those transfers just with different distributional, inter-temporal, etc. effects
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Oh, it's politically suicidal for them for sure, but the criticism I saw was from climate folk who seemed to think NFIP was good from a policy POV.
I could be sold on a smart phase-out approach, but we need to start from the understanding there's a real reason markets won't insure these properties.
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This is one worth being adequately informed on.
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ah Scotland have been boycotting that one for decades at this point
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This is actually the "Club" World Cup, a shameless cash-in that fans of the sport also don't care about.
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apparently i missed bayern sneaking past auckland fc by ten goals
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I legitimately did not know they were even playing here.
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Bob Odenkirk returned from the war
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Laura Dern!