nicholasgrossman.bsky.social
International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Editor of Arc Digital. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.
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If among your first reactions to an accusation is “is it true?,” and you wouldn’t make public accusations about life-and-death matters unless you can really answer “is it true?,” then you’re fundamentally different from the people now leading the US.
It’s one of the things that makes them fascists.
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Agreed on both points
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Yesterday in particular, right after the kiddos saw a protest? It's a little cliche.
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Some of the violence gets graphic, there are creepy moments that border on horror, and some sexualized parts. Not a gory horror movie or the incest and brothels of Game of Thrones, but I suggest using a similar standard you'd have for a Rated R movie with some violence and sex in it.
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Exactly. I’ve done similarly, spending a long weekend focused on family, with minimal news or social media time. But to get the “cleanse” effect, it has to be long enough that you’re out of the loop.
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I highly recommend it.
One thing: you have to do it long enough that you get out of social media rhythms. Just a day or two off and it doesn’t really work.
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Yes. Plus Assad's downfall.
Excerpt from here:
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Agreed. That stood out to me as well.
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How long can Israel do longer distance, accurate strikes on their own without direct US involvement? Not sure exactly, but not that long.
If they manage to cripple Iranian air defenses and can fly in to drop less sophisticated bombs? Decently longer.
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I haven't heard, one way or the other, but that's a good question.
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After their first launch failed to get through, they brought out some pretty big guns for the second one.
But I take your point. They didn't fire all their best stuff in the second launch, and like any competent military tactician, would strategically hold big cards for later, if necessary.
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Maybe. I think that's plausible.
But still, the fact that either are live possibilities...
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Gah! I'm tired. That was sloppy.
Thank you, I appreciate it.
Updated:
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Who doesn’t sometimes?
Perhaps one of the biggest divides is how frequently, to what extent, and whether or not the person thinks it’s bad.
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At no point do I argue that Iran's nuclear program was dormant or stagnant, and in the article I note that they've ramped up enrichment.
I did suggest I'm more inclined to believe Israeli military/intel over Netanyahu himself, and wanted to acknowledge his years-long record of similar warnings.
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More detailed write up of Israel's attack on Iran here:
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More detailed write up here:
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Israel has had nuclear weapons since the late 1960s.
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Right. Three possible options, and Trump ruined the best one.
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I won't take full responsibility, but I apologize for my contributions.
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Older than he was before, in fact.
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Re: "full-scale," who knows.
But I would be very surprised if Iran takes a de-escalatory path in response. The attack is too big, too widespread. No state would let it slide.