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paxlusitanica.bsky.social
OSINT enthusiast and armchair strategist. Reading the news, looking at maps. 🇩🇰 expatriate in 🇵🇹, married to a 🇹🇼 and closely following events in 🇺🇦. Still on Twitter, but only active here now.
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It is already clear that this is not a limited attack on core nuclear sites. The target set is broad and includes top military leadership in a way that Iran will see as regime threatening. The IRGC chief is dead. That is likely to drive more expansive Iranian retaliation.

submitted 1 day ago • 60 comments

Where different BDA assessments seem to converge. Destroyed: 7 Tu-95MS, 4 Tu-22M3, 1 An-12. Damaged: 1 Tu-95MS, 2 Tu-22M3 , 2 A-50s (probably non-operational). Additionally attacked & possibly damaged: 4 Tu-22M3 (status unclear), and 1 Tu-95MS.

submitted 8 days ago • 9 comments