Profile avatar
rdmullin.bsky.social
PhD Economist, Certified Public Accountant, Academic. My Service Dog is Wilson.
1,450 posts 551 followers 254 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter

www.wsj.com/business/the...

This is exactly what we need from all our members of Congress—SHOW UP. Thank you, Reps @gomez.house.gov , @repluzrivas.bsky.social , @ntorres35.bsky.social , and Lou Correa for showing up at the Federal Building to demand answers amid reports of inhumane conditions: no beds, no food, no water.

This IEA graphic shows how global sales of electric vehicles & improved efficiency of combustion vehicles (eg hybrids) is slashing growth in global oil demand. Use in road transport has peaked & likely to soon post annual declines. Aviation & petro-chemical feedstocks only drivers of growth now.🔌💡🔌🚗

Will Austin become the worst U.S. metro real estate market for the remainder of 2025?

Most people think trade is “cars for wine.” But the moment you realize that trade is mostly in intermediate goods—stuff like steel, or aluminum—your whole perspective changes. Tariffs aren’t taxes on “them.” They’re taxes on your own country's production line.

Extremely bad news is right. And I worry the same forces are coming for federal health care data.

One question I get asked a lot these days is whether we can still trust the economic data coming out of this administration. My answer is yes -- but with some caveats. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/b...

Time to update this compilation of the most important recession indicators. Perhaps the best headline is: "Mixed signals."

The May #jobsreport shows the job market standing tall amid headwinds but ultimately still waiting for the tariff shoe to drop. -Payrolls up 139,000 (prior 2 months revised down 95,000 in sum) -Unemp flat at 4.2% -Wage growth flat at 3.9% YoY #NumbersDay 1/

A boring jobs report, in a good way. 139K jobs added (140K private). Unemployment rate unchanged at 4.2%. Hours unchanged. Only notable deviations from steady state were participation down and unusual wage growth up.

Happy #JobsDay! At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. Forecasts’ center: +125K jobs Unemployment rate (UR) stable at 4.2%

America’s Summer Hot Spots Wonder: Will the Vacationers Still Come? www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/b...

Some economists are beginning to question the accuracy of recent U.S. inflation data after the federal government said staffing shortages hampered its ability to conduct a massive monthly survey. www.wsj.com/economy/cpi-...

Four major automakers are racing to find workarounds to China’s stranglehold on rare-earth magnets, which they fear could force them to shut down some car production within weeks

This isn't good: "BLS is reducing sample in areas across the country. In April, BLS suspended CPI data collection entirely in Lincoln, NE, and Provo, UT. In June, BLS suspended collection entirely in Buffalo, NY." #EconSky www.bls.gov/cpi/notices/...

The carmaker that kicked the Model 3's ass in China is going to launch its answer to the Model Y shortly. The price is rumored to be $32,820, or 10% cheaper than the "refreshed" Model Y, but has 17% longer range. $TSLA is no longer a player in China. Game over.

These are all job offers for remote operators to drive Tesla robotaxis so they look "driverless" and don't crash. 1/2

The Housing Market Was Supposed to Recover This Year. What Happened? www.nytimes.com/2025/06/02/r...

Economists studying monopsony and the minimum wage need to account for labor market size and the urban wage premium, from Priyaranjan Jha, Jyotsana Kala, ‪@neumarkecon.bsky.social, and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez https://www.nber.org/papers/w33862

America is becoming less attractive to global investors at a time when its government needs them more than ever 🎥

More than a century after the Tulsa Race Massacre of 1921, one of the most horrific episodes of racial violence in U.S. history, the city’s mayor announced a $105 million reparations package on Sunday. It is the first large-scale plan committing funds to address the impact of the atrocity.

youtube.com/watch?v=GTHK...

www.wsj.com/tech/persona...

There's a lot of day-to-day economic noise. But to keep your eye on what really matters, ask yourself: What makes some countries rich, and others poor? And keep your eyes on those factors, because they're the ones that'll really matter in the long run.

The Good, the Badass, and the Ugly.

The 2018 steel tariffs just called to remind you that steel is produced by a tiny sliver of the economy, but used as an input by a much broader swathe of manufacturers. econofact.org/steel-tariff...

Without using economics jargon, Justin Wolfers gives an excellent brief explanation of how price elasticities of demand and supply determine who bears the burden of a tariff.

I'm having a hard time getting worked up about the dollar decline given: 1. It remains very strong 2. Much of the fall is reversing the earlier run-up 3. We've seen this type of move many times before (To be clear, some financial correlations & risk spreads are a bit worrying.)

Volvo suspends production at SC plant citing parts shortages scdailygazette.com/2025/05/30/v...

This is the key thing to understand—there's no such thing as an all-American car. Even US-brand-US-assembled models don't use anything close to 100% American content. Trying to do autarky for car parts is totally unrealistic and just going to drive up costs and hurt domestic manufacturing.

Costco said its team of buyers monitored prices on goods like butter and eggs "hourly" and rerouted imports to avoid US tariffs.

Redfin says there are 500,000 more home sellers than buyers, the biggest disparity on record (going back to 2013): www.redfin.com/news/sellers...

"There's not a hope in hell that anyone's gonna strike a deal with the United States right now. They don't know what it is that the President's threatening, and they don't know what it is that the President could threaten."

A letter — signed by 12 long-term institutional investors that together manage about $950bn in Tesla's assets — calls for corporate governance reforms to address a 'crisis' at the carmaker. www.ft.com/content/6b52...

www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-f...

Stata users will get a kick out of this: @statacorp.bsky.social v1.0 (released January 1985) only had these 44 commands. Source: stata-journal.com/sj5-1.html