rivertam.bsky.social
Financial Institutions Group @Blackstone
'She understands probability better than me' -Nassim Taleb
2,392 posts
2,628 followers
173 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
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No I think I was more like 14 something. I think I jump around too much and that hurts me more when the puzzle is bigger.
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Eg tariffs
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ofc ofc "Here's How Bernie Can Still Win" but there was clear delegate math showing how it was out of reach. With Mamdani it's just polls
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I know it's not what he's going with, but imo the best argument for ranking Mamdani over Cuomo is "character matters". The worst is "he won't do all the stupid things he's said he'll do"
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Couldn't even get Chuck Schumer on board.
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It's not legislation anyone is gonna vote based on. The America COMPETES Act of 2007 also wasn't a significant accomplishment of the Bush administration.
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I will concede that that is, in fact, something
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I agree but it's also a losing electoral strategy. If the electorate is going to vote because bored, you gotta give them something to watch.
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I think Democrats will do little to move public opinion towards a point that Republican Senators feel pressure to turn on Trump
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It's ok guys Kamala lost we don't have to pretend that the Chips Act counts
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Ppl gets mad about leftists saying "Democrats don't do anything" but if you list the Biggest Things that Democrats did in the past 15 years it's like
1. Filled 1/2 available SCOTUS vacancies
2. Not being Republicans
Whereas Trump is constantly doing shit, even if it's bad.
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This will end when Republican Senators turn on Trump, and not a second earlier. If they don't, well...
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Fold and come crawling back it is!
apnews.com/article/trum...
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Meanwhile Mon Mothma is horrified that her daughter wants to be a tradwife - there's a very explicit conversation about how the old ways aren't necessarily better (despite the current moment not being great either).
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I think the actual reason LotR is conservative is because it's about restoration of a monarchy and takes place in a world that's explicitly and irreversibly worse than it used to be.
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Andor kinda is too? Like
everything bad is Mining Ships and everything good is Leave the Good People of This Backwater Planet Alone.
Anyways, we're slicing pretty thin between anti industrialization and anti capitalism
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One reason conservatives like Gilroy (I should know, I'm one of them) is that his themes *aren't* leftist. In Gilroy's work, there are no happy endings. There's only hope that individuals can keep making the right choices and fight against a system moving in the wrong direction.
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Doesn't Cassian want to go back to his hobbit hole just like Frodo?
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I'd even argue that until 2016, National Review conservatives would have recognized the deeply conservative themes of Andor such as the dangers of sclerotic democratic institutions, centralized state power, and a crushing impersonal bureaucracy.
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Now, it's perfectly possible to claim that Andor is left wing and LotR is right wing (as Douthat does) but they're both about resisting tyranny! Is Lord of the Rings is right wing simply because they beat Sauron before he conquers Gondor rather than after?
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Douthat previously claimed (a few weeks ago!) what made art conservative vs liberal was conveying/focusing on an aspect of reality that was central to a particular ideological worldview. But now he's lazily claiming that "we should revolt against tyranny" makes liberal art.
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This is a matter of semantics. He was an ally and had input into American/British decisions until he wasn't an ally and didn't.
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No chance they would touch transitioning, the tax policy stuff you're probably right about but I like that stuff anyways so maybe I'm biased
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What's the worst policy you think Elon could bribe national Dems into?
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Everyone should be welcomed into the tent.
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ok but tbh the only way he goes to jail is if Trump puts him there lol
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You don't have to give him a say- there are a ton of things he wants that Democrats would naturally do!
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The great thing about someone having personal beef with Trump is YOU DONT HAVE TO OFFER THEM A LOT. He's already looking for a way to oppose Trump. Give him an easy one! Ffs.