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shashj.bsky.social
Defence Editor at The Economist. Visiting Fellow at Department of War Studies, KCL. For speaking engagements: https://chartwellspeakers.com/speaker/shashank-joshi
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Rutte: “last week, NATO Defence Ministers agreed ambitious new targets. The exact details are classified but we need…A 400% increase in air and missile defence.” www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...

We’ve become basically desensitised to successive record breaking air attacks by Russia against Ukraine. “Russia launched almost 500 drones and missiles at Ukraine overnight, Ukrainian forces said on Monday.” www.nytimes.com/2025/06/09/w...

I see that the vice president is cracking jokes about deporting someone who made fun of him on social media. What a healthy political dynamic.

Enormous in-year boost to Canada’s defence budget to get to of 2%. Carney “said his government will increase the 2025-26 allocation for the Department of National Defence by $9.3-billion, on top of its existing budget of just under $40-billion.” www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/artic...

Now watch for 1/ timeline for 3.5% target, whether its early 2030s or mid-2030s, and 2/ increments, i.e. whether allies agree steady rises, or just promise to back-load the money. There is a real risk of these big targets becoming another Wales-2%.

A good paper by Nick Ritchie & John Walker on how the RAF was de-nuclearised, and how it might be re-nuclearised. "A number of interviewees were of the view that AWE would find it very difficult if not impossible to contemplate another warhead" www.york.ac.uk/media/politi...

In Nov. we learnt 'full operating capability' of UK F-35's only stand-off air to ground capability—Spear 3—had "slipped" from 2025 to 2028. In May we learnt it'd be 2030s. Now we learn: integration of its longest-range air to air missile 2030 -> early 2030s. ukdefencejournal.org.uk/meteor-integ...

My colleagues have published a short history of Greenland in maps. "After gaining independence in 1905 Norway later challenged this deal and raised the Norwegian flag in the east of Greenland. Judges on an international court in The Hague sided w/ Denmark" www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

Healey: “SDR recommends commencing discussions with the US & NATO on enhancing the UK’s participation in NATO’s nuclear mission. We have accepted that …, as we have the other 61 recommendations…I will not comment in public on those discussions” ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uk-confirms-...

"The [national guard] move is ostensibly meant to restore peace. But it is also a thinly-veiled message to Democratic-run places that retribution awaits those who would stand between immigrants and the administration’s deportation machine." www.economist.com/united-state...

'A key part of Ukraine’s resilience has been its early edge in drone warfare, but that advantage is now eroding. Eduard, an officer in the 93rd brigade, says Russia has even pulled ahead in what he calls the “front-line drone marathon”...' www.economist.com/europe/2025/...

I think there is something incredibly encouraging & reassuring that the country’s national broadcaster has the independence & strength to strongly challenge the state security service when circumstances demand it. That’s not true of every national broadcaster.

“The revelation means that MI5 has effectively given false evidence in this case to every organisation or court which is supposed to have access to the Security Service's secrets and is responsible for holding it to account” www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Enjoyed the ‘Surovikin definitely not speaking under duress’ mood here

‘China is set to start supplying the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) with its Shenyang FC-31 ‘Gyrfalcon' multirole stealth fighter aircraft, a senior Pakistani government official has told Janes. The FC-31 aircraft “will begin arriving within months”…’ www.janes.com/osint-insigh...

'“advice I would give is the same I would give in a public setting.”...Trump [WH] “is not an administration, it is a court” in which a transactional president is driven by his “own desires and interests... listens often to the last person he talks to”.' www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Looking at old papers on the RAF's pre-1998 nuclear role. On Thetford: "Locally rumoured to be breeding chimpanzees for a non-existent but convenient UK Space Programme, very few knew that here were stored and serviced many of the RAF’s nuclear weapons." img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/af...

It seems the strategic defence review has a classified annex or version. "Some parts of review — specifically on the perception of the threat facing Britain — will never be published because they are classified." www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

'Foreign interlocutors who meet him [Pete Hegseth] are pleasantly surprised. “He is not a caricature. He listens,” says one. The forthcoming defence budget, and decisions about force deployments globally, will reveal much about his philosophy' www.economist.com/united-state...

Macron, in Singapore, asked about European nuclear deterrence: "in parallel we are working hard, and we will launch a new phase, a new era, and I will revert in the months to come on that... to have perhaps w/ some European countries a different approach" www.iiss.org/events/shang...

Macron asked about intervention in Taiwan war. "we will never sell what we cannot deliver ... will you intervene day one? I would be very cautious today. But everybody will be very cautious today, I think all the countries in this room" www.iiss.org/events/shang...

3.5 times increase in telecoms sabotage. 30 instances since Easter. 🐣 Concentrated to highway linking south Sweden/Europe to southeast coast/Gotland ferries.

Enjoyed chatting w/ @pranayrvaddi.bsky.social & Vipin Narang for their podcast, Strategic Simplicity. We discussed the UK defence review, pros & cons of UK joining NATO nuclear sharing, and lessons about nuclear red lines from Ukraine & India-Pakistan strategicsimplicity.substack.com/p/strategic-...

Doesn't say much for the current state of US politics that my mind turns to Putin vs. Khordokovsky 2003.

DOGE is a sabotage risk to any administration and likely already did irreversible damage.

are there any doctors on here, is it technically possible to die of popcorn overdose

“Tesla’s market value suffered its biggest one-day drop on record on Thursday as an escalating feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk triggered a sharp sell-off in the carmaker’s shares.” www.ft.com/content/a14f...

“A video circulating on social media in Lebanon shows traffic jams in Dahiyeh, Beirut, apparently of people trying to leave the area following an IDF warning that Israel is expected to carry out an attack soon.” www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-jun...

Israel detained BBC reporters in … Syria. “On9 May … in Southern Syria, BBC News Arabic correspondent Feras Kilani, along with three other BBC staff members and three freelance colleagues, were detained for seven hours and held at gunpoint” www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/...

A key area in military endeavours is deceiving an adversary about intentions, locations and capabilities. Today, Peter Singer and I launch our new report on the future of military deception. You see the report here: www.newamerica.org/future-secur...

Enjoyed chatting w/ @pranayrvaddi.bsky.social & Vipin Narang for their podcast, Strategic Simplicity. We discussed the UK defence review, pros & cons of UK joining NATO nuclear sharing, and lessons about nuclear red lines from Ukraine & India-Pakistan strategicsimplicity.substack.com/p/strategic-...

To be a fly on the wall. Kash Patel & Dan Bongino meeting the king.

Tip for PhD applicants reaching out to prospective advisors: Don’t use an LLM to write these emails. It’s not a great first impression to express your admiration for a recent paper the faculty member published if that paper does not exist.

We write on "an escalating state of anarchy in Myanmar, in the heart of Asia. The country is degenerating into a violent state of nature. Over 2m of its people are on the verge of starvation...the hellscape is unfolding under the watch of China" www.economist.com/leaders/2025...