snowysniffles.bsky.social
52 posts
2 followers
9 following
Active Commenter
comment in response to
post
At last a common sense MRP! Not that nonsense from More in Common & Find Out Now.
comment in response to
post
Likely no. Worse if anything.
comment in response to
post
It is unfortunate, but lots of people sadly do look to specific pollsters - especially Ipsos Mori given its strong, long history of success in this field. That’s why I’m making the point.
comment in response to
post
It is the pollster’s fault. They had a perfectly good methodology before and decided to change it to something clearly inferior. I mean you’d have to be an idiot to think the Lib Dems are on 11%.
comment in response to
post
What is the point of a pollster ghosting for almost 1/5th of the parliamentary term just to come up with even more outlandish figures than Find Out Now? Very disappointing from Ipsos.
comment in response to
post
It most certainly is laughable.
comment in response to
post
This is the second pollster to show Plaid Cymru up to 2% now.
comment in response to
post
These referenda in Italy are only achieved with a significant number of signatures being collected, so it was obvious that there would be reasonable engagement with them. People who can’t even be bothered to vote ultimately should not outweigh those that actually put the effort in.
comment in response to
post
That’s completely different: the default setting is naturally very high turnout if you have business interests & almost all councillors will want to be present to represent their constituents and/or their own interests. In these referenda it perversely encourages the low turnout it seeks to deter.
comment in response to
post
Can’t think of many things more illogical and counterproductive than a turnout requirement. This experiment in semi direct democracy is just a pantomime.
comment in response to
post
Liberals being a joke as usual.
comment in response to
post
It’s rather bad practice to use a different scale for each bar chart. This gives the misleading impression that Reform’s leader has substantially more support amongst 18-24 than 25-34, which isn’t the case.
comment in response to
post
You’re right, I hadn’t thought of it like that. Thank you.
comment in response to
post
Intriguing reasoning - though I’m not sure how easy it would be to lose a Digital ID. I suppose another argument against is that it disadvantages people that live offline only.
comment in response to
post
Interesting point.
comment in response to
post
I’ll take that argument onboard. Thank you.
comment in response to
post
Fair enough.
comment in response to
post
So your argument is it will ferment nationalism which will then breed a fascist state? What about the many strong democracies that have had this in place for decades now?
comment in response to
post
I was hoping for a more nuanced intellectual discussion but nevermind. 😂😂
comment in response to
post
Can someone run me through the main arguments for and against this? I’m unsure as to what to think (which is unusual for me).
comment in response to
post
Oops sorry, didn’t realise!
comment in response to
post
I’m gonna guess Reform overtook the SNP as preferences were reallocated, and then SNP preferences went to Labour over Reform to allow a Labour gain. Even with that context, it’s a big drop for the SNP in first preferences.
comment in response to
post
The more Triggered he is, the more Words he seems to Needlessly Capitalise. Sad!
comment in response to
post
💀💀💀
comment in response to
post
The government will only go lower after the latest developments.
comment in response to
post
Not yet, let the Libs overtake first. Even the Greens, if it’s possible.
comment in response to
post
Is there any chance (yes I know it’s just a few by-elections at council level which is very low turnout) that pollsters may somehow be underestimating the Lib Dems? Their base is pretty low after all.
comment in response to
post
BREAKING: YouGov discovers ageing changes behaviour!
comment in response to
post
Perfect, if this is the split of the rightwing vote, the Lib Dems & Greens could sweep the whole council in 2027!
comment in response to
post
Trigger warning please! Nearly had a heart attack! 🤣
comment in response to
post
It’s ToryGov - it suits them to do narrative-peddling. Ipsos remain the best professional pollster here imo.
comment in response to
post
In case anyone is wondering, the 90% retention figure is for the SNP, the Lib Dems are on 72%.
comment in response to
post
Can we have the voting intention now please? 🙏
comment in response to
post
Based on this I reckon we’ll see Labour down to 21%, with the Tories even lower on 19%. We usually see a post-locals Lib Dem bounce but they’re already pretty healthy so will they manage it again this year? If so they’ll be almost level with the Tories.
comment in response to
post
Rightwing-biased Iflop pursuing its usual strategy of splitting the left as many different ways as possible, whilst also underestimating its combined total as usual.
comment in response to
post
Yes! Thank goodness for that! The worst possible runoff has been avoided. Simion still way too high though - but inevitably so given the lack of alternative radical candidates.
comment in response to
post
Oh bore off you knobhead. Call yourself a socialist and then go and patronise people like that. Idgaf what you think of me - you don’t quite have respecting that others will have different opinions to you yet! Byeeee!
comment in response to
post
I do actually. And for me, he is. But I don’t like any of the 5 much.
comment in response to
post
Antonescu is horrible. Let’s hope Dan or better still Ponta can overtake.
comment in response to
post
Come onnn Greensss! Just a bit more of this and you’ll overtake Labour! 🤭🤭🤭
comment in response to
post
Whatever you say! 🫡
comment in response to
post
Ooo a sequin shirt! I’d love to see that! I’ve got some pretty Andy Warhol-style colourful paint splodge shirt to wear myself!
comment in response to
post
Can you buy me dinner too? 🥹😂😂😂
comment in response to
post
Now that’s a major development! 😅
comment in response to
post
Boring 😴 post the Greek polls! 👀
comment in response to
post
NSPM even.
comment in response to
post
“Some of the opposition alliances” is a joke option! You can only pick one! That figure should be reallocated to the opposition alliances on offer. Blatant attempt at trying to demoralise the opposition from
NPSM. Bad pollster!
comment in response to
post
Wish they’d just impose a 5% threshold and be done with it. If you placed that onto this poll you’d end up projecting a PVDA/GL, CDA, D66 coalition - finally something of a stable coalition for the Netherlands.