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uptonorwell.bsky.social
Political Scientist. Professor at NYU’s Center for Global Affairs. Experiments, data analysis, guitar, drums, fan of comedy. Make guides for @statacorp.bsky.social users. Two boys and exhausted all the time. More at www.johnvkane.com
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For those currently writing and/or grading papers, always good to keep this distinction in mind

Do most people understand how inflation works? That drops in the inflation rate don't mean drops in prices? 🤔 No. And misunderstanding is significantly associated with vote choice in 2024. Thanks to @verasight.bsky.social and @peterenns.bsky.social for letting me field this question 🙏

Had a great time presenting in @stecula.bsky.social 's PhD class on null results in experiments. Thank you again, Dom! If anyone who teaches experiments would like me to present for a course in the Fall, just email or DM me--happy to do it! 😁

Had a great time presenting on null / non-significant results in survey experiments to Samara Klar's Ph.D. class at University of Arizona! 😁 🚨If you teach a course on experiments in the Fall and would like me to present, feel free to email/DM me--I'd be happy to do it! polisky

🚨New WP! What is political bias in its most extreme form? What factors are associated with it? And how can it be reduced? At next week's @MPSAnet conf., @iganson.bsky.social & I will present our paper "Rejoining the Cult" that offers answers these questions: go.shr.lc/4j9bg9j 🧵

Happy to share a new working paper with @uptonorwell.bsky.social! The subject of partisan bias is only increasing in its importance, and in this paper we conceptually distinguish "blatant bias:" i.e., nothing can dissuade a partisan's support for a leader. preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...

🚨New WP! What is political bias in its most extreme form? What factors are associated with it? And how can it be reduced? At next week's @MPSAnet conf., @iganson.bsky.social & I will present our paper "Rejoining the Cult" that offers answers these questions: go.shr.lc/4j9bg9j 🧵

A perfect encapsulation of our current moment: Celebrating the destruction of the Dept. of Education whilst misspelling “Department”

This is a really thoughtful take on my recent @jepsjournal.bsky.social paper. Carlisle looks at my 7 Alternative Explanations from a statistical power perspective—highly recommend!!! Thank you, Carlisle!

Super important and timely new study by some great folks at @stonybrooku.bsky.social 🙌

For anyone who's just becoming interested in politics, navigating it must be harder than ever. Exhibit A: This is the *WH's* own response to the charge that Trump confused transgender mice w/ transGENIC mice. They cite the studies, NONE of which appears to be aimed to "making mice transgender" 🤷🏻‍♂️

Quick note that a fun way to visualize correlations in @statacorp.bsky.social is with Jann's "heatplot" package.👍 Install with -ssc heatplot- , then run -help heatplot- & scroll to the correlation matrix example. *Maybe* will also make it more fun for students to learn correlation analysis 🤔

🚨It's finally got an issue and page numbers 😊 If you ever do survey experiments and maybe, just maybe, sometimes get null results, this article might help you (plus it's Open Access!). www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

🚨It's finally got an issue and page numbers 😊 If you ever do survey experiments and maybe, just maybe, sometimes get null results, this article might help you (plus it's Open Access!). www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

🚨New WP! Congress makes many bills but passes very few laws. 🤔 Nicole Huffman, David Stack, & I show that introducing "symbolic legislation"--i.e., bills with no hope of becoming law--comes with sizable benefits from one's supporters. preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...

Today I gave perhaps the most intimidating presentation I've ever given: Intro to Data Visualization. I normally don't sweat it at all, but this time the audience was...my son's kindergarten class😬 Fortunately, @statacorp.bsky.social has a lot of tricks that made it a little more fun 👍

The four phases of having your kids be off from school for winter break for 16 straight days...

Absolutely love the New Year’s Eve “Twilight Zone” marathon and, honestly, this graph might be one of the most sinister things to have ever appeared on the show 😵‍💫 @graphcrimes.bsky.social