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warinthefuture.bsky.social
Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Senior Fellow in Military Studies @LowyInstitute | @CSIS | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | #BannedInRussia
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On @cnn.com again this afternoon discussing the impacts of the U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities today.

America has bombed Iran's nuclear facilities. A quick assessment of the implications for the region, Iran's partners and how it changes the character of the war in the Middle East. mickryan.substack.com/p/america-bo...

As the Israel-Iran war enters its second week, an update on the war and an examination of potential surprises and branch plans for American offensive operations against Iran. 1/6

"Russian President Vladimir Putin said "all of Ukraine" belonged to Russia in a speech on June 20 at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum." Ahead of the NATO summit, Putin confirms (again) his intent for the conquest of all #Ukraine. kyivindependent.com/all-of-ukrai...

An excellent ‘emergency episode’ of the Shield of the Republic, focused on the Israel-Iran War. @eliotacohen.bsky.social podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/s...

Odesa after Russian strikes 🙏

“It’s too late to prevent a war from breaking out — the region is in the middle of one now. At the moment, it is in America’s interest, as well as Israel’s, to make sure that whenever the war ends, it will be as hard as possible for Iran to reconstitute its nuclear program.” wapo.st/3HOxTCI

Thank you to the team at Parameters journal for the terrific review of my book, The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire (published by USNI Press). publications.armywarcollege.edu/News/Display...

I was privileged to be the 1st non-U.S. officer to be interviewed by Modern War Institute for the series, “Five Questions for a General”. It was a wonderful conversation with Cadet Henry Kaye, and we discussed a range of different topics. You can listen at the link: mwi.westpoint.edu/five-questio...

"Should China ever move on Taiwan, the PRC would likely deploy UAVs on a scale unseen in human history. This would be made possible by China’s large civilian drone industry built up through military-civil fusion." www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/0...

In war, stupidity and intellectual laziness gets punished. So, selection and development of good leaders matters. But, also punished is a suboptimal learning and adaption culture. A special assessment of what Iran should have learned from military conflicts in the past year - and didn't. 1/5

“Russia is not on the march. It is bleeding personnel and equipment for mere meters of ground. And it will only translate into victory if Washington lets it.” www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

My regular update on global conflict is now available. This week, Israel's expanding campaign against Iran, updates from #Ukraine and the Pacific theatres as well as my weekly top 5 recommended reads. mickryan.substack.com/p/the-expand...

⚡️'Spit in face' — Zelensky condemns Russia's mass attack, dismisses Putin as peacemaker. "This is Russia's spit in the face of everything the international community is trying to do to stop this war ... At the same time as Putin tries to portray himself as a mediator for the Middle East."

Another case study in the fallacy of ‘transparent battlefields’. This is a good examination of some of the reasons why Israel achieved surprise against Iran last week. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

My regular update on global conflict is now available. This week, Israel's expanding campaign against Iran, updates from Ukraine and the Pacific theatres as well as my weekly top 5 recommended reads. 1/7

Surprise and deception have been central elements of Israel’s current campaign against Iran’s nuclear program. In this new report, Peter Singer and I explore the future of military deception. newamerica.org/future-secur...

Operationg Rising Lion is now in its second day. What insights can be gleaned, and what are the key questions about the ongoing Israel-Iran war? 1/9

An initial analysis of the new phase of the Israel-Iran conflict from CSIS. www.csis.org/podcasts/tru...

“Mossad agents set up a drone base on Iranian soil near Tehran. The drones were activated overnight, striking surface-to-surface missile launchers aimed at Israel.” How can we also do this, while defending ourselves against such attacks? www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

Some initial questions and conclusions about today's strike by Israel against targets in Iran, called Operation Rising Lion. What is the potential for more attacks and what are Iran's retaliation options? mickryan.substack.com/p/israel-str...

Is this a joke? www.state.gov/releases/202...

My recent interview with Radio Free Europe about Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia. neweasterneurope.eu/2025/06/09/z...

My regular update on global conflict and strategic competition is now available. This week, a Pacific-focus with the Trump-Xi call, Chinese carriers past the 2nd island chain, and a detailed look at Taiwan’s evolving version of Ukraine’s drone wall concept. mickryan.substack.com/p/the-big-fi...

The last few nights in Ukraine.