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wertwhile.bsky.social
Civil rights attorney. COYS.
1,506 posts 4,610 followers 394 following
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The implicit NGDP target of the Fed is 4% and right now NGDP is 4.5% in their minds, hence restrictive rates (though too restrictive imo), but I also don't quite understand a 4% NGDP target rather than 4.5%.

submitted 1 hour ago • 2 comments

USAID was one of the best things we, America, ever did. There is not really room for dispute on this unless your moral calculus is so different as to be alien.

submitted 5 hours ago • 24 comments

There were two major shifts Trump made that brought him more in line with the American public particularly in key swing states/Senate: anti-immigration stance and a much more pro social security/medicare stance. This was the famed @leedrutman.bsky.social chart.

submitted 4 hours ago • 4 comments

A truly disgusting opinion.

submitted 5 hours ago • 0 comments

Dr. FrankenSStein’s monster

submitted 7 hours ago • 0 comments

My new mayoral cope is that Brad is the condorcet winner in the primary and WFP uses that as justification to run him in the general and he wins the general.

submitted 7 hours ago • 1 comment

Not on their site yet but this appears to be the Marist poll via @nickgarber.bsky.social: x.com/nick_garber/...

submitted 16 hours ago • 10 comments

Tonight, I'll go home and sleep in my bed. I have a lawyer, I'll get due process. But Edgardo, whose arm was ripped from mine by ICE agents, has none of those things. That's why I'll keep coming back to court, week after week, to make sure that people's rights are protected.

submitted 18 hours ago • 582 comments

No Marist Poll tonight I guess. The lack of informative polling combined with ranked choice voting has been horrible for NYC voters.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

I would recommend this paper from Alan Wertheimer. www.jstor.org/stable/2265402

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

I don’t think so, and instead Trump is just doing the crazier version of the IDF’s threats to one section of Tehran, but if you were Iranian you’d be perfectly justified in being afraid of this possibility! He’s a fucking lunatic.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

"The IRA will be hard to repeal and help democrats" *monkey paw curls* because Republicans will choose to maintain IRA subsidies and cut Medicaid

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

the most glaringly obvious way to turn this into a thing to be cared about was to start with woso

submitted 2 days ago • 3 comments

The drops in Baltimore are amazing and also...not that different from the nation as a whole right now. Here's a chart comparing homicide rate in Baltimore and US using some extrapolation for last couple years. Not perfectly in lockstep but quite similar moves.

submitted 2 days ago • 4 comments

Plus fusion voting so candidates that lose the primary can still get on an FPTP line in November!

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

While we marinate in anger over The Times, I want to show you two charts from the MTA. The first shows how much extra time you spend waiting for trains vs. the schedule. I've indicated who was Governor - and in charge of the MTA - while wait times grew longer. This one is very straightforward.

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

You do not need to rank five candidates in RCV in NYC and telling people that is confusing. If you leave off a candidate you don't want to win and rank all other plausible winners, your ballot will count. I think, at most, there are 4 plausible winners in NYC right now, and it's more like 2.2

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

It’s also broadly emblematic of the entire New York political elite’s failure and pathologies. The Times, Bloomberg world, Tish pushing Adrienne in, Hakeem doing nothing, etc. There absolutely was this moment to get ahead of the Cuomo issue and they failed.

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

Thankfully that NYT op ed is so poorly written I don't even think it'll register.

submitted 2 days ago • 3 comments

The funny thing is I think there's a good version of this article. RCV as practiced in NYC is complex and advantages high information voters. Maybe by discouraging negative campaigning it decreases voter learning. There are other better systems potentially like approval voting.

submitted 2 days ago • 3 comments