@domluszczyszyn.bsky.social I'm curious why you have Ovi at only 35% to get enough goals by the end of the year. 0.52 gpg needed, 0.65 gpg so far this year and most seasons he hits that tally.
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As we get closer, it'd be interesting to update by including this season, as well as comparing to a model based on his March/April output instead of full season(?). I'd also be curious to see it regressed to the mean of players with a similar amount of shots rather than minutes.
it’s 42% now, just haven’t updated yet. all depends on what i have his goals/82 at
was fairly consistently around 37-38, but jumped to 39 after the hat trick
just being cautious that the 39 year old won’t continue scoring at a 50+ pace. but then again, he is ovie 🫨
Since the all-star break last year, he (and the rest of the folks around him) have been much better. And especially given the age, amazing he seems to have kept it up despite the broken bone
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was fairly consistently around 37-38, but jumped to 39 after the hat trick
just being cautious that the 39 year old won’t continue scoring at a 50+ pace. but then again, he is ovie 🫨
Since the all-star break last year, he (and the rest of the folks around him) have been much better. And especially given the age, amazing he seems to have kept it up despite the broken bone