Four ways the Trump admin increases risk of war: 1. Openly desires territorial expansion (Canada, etc), weakening norm vs. conquest (hello, China) 2. Turn away from Europe weakens NATO, emboldens Russia 3. Abandoning Ukraine shows that conquest pays 4. Politicized/purged US military = ⬇️ deterrent - ThreadSky

jaylyall.bsky.social • 8 days ago

Four ways the Trump admin increases risk of war:

1. Openly desires territorial expansion (Canada, etc), weakening norm vs. conquest (hello, China)
2. Turn away from Europe weakens NATO, emboldens Russia
3. Abandoning Ukraine shows that conquest pays
4. Politicized/purged US military = ⬇️ deterrent

Comments

adamboyle.bsky.social•8 days ago

If he goes to war with Canada they will have no time or resources for anything else. There’s no way American civil society survives that and stays intact as a country.

I think it’s equally as likely several states seceded and joined Canada along with millions of Americans who cross and join us

occamsrustyspoon.bsky.social•7 days ago

Sadly I’m in a red state and there’s no fucking way I’d support a war against Canada or Mexico. At that point I’d gtfo here and move to a state with reasonable leadership.

boboinparadise.bsky.social•7 days ago

Weakness temps bullies.

doctorcarrie.bsky.social•8 days ago

Don't forget the civil war storyline.

blueoddball.bsky.social•8 days ago

5. Incoherent and irrational behavior reduces effectiveness of signaling and increases risk of conflict via misperception.

rajtham.bsky.social•7 days ago

5. Encouraging Israel to attack Iran.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1892364

russejr.bsky.social•7 days ago

Increasingly it seems like it's all by design – to make our allies our enemies and our enemies our allies.

davey-sojourner.bsky.social•7 days ago

Definitely legit.

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-update120-the-us-changes?fbclid=IwY2xjawIfFvpleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHdKRRMU8GsxybAvP9LqL0X3Ib8JOzMwX6Lyv54fC-RFwnRyOXFFpq0jtqQ_aem_g0Tm6IJVKTWjbAIM8_Qp_Q

philipjtaylor.bsky.social•7 days ago

On the last point cutting social security and medicaid weakens the military base. See: https://www.sahr.org.uk/docs/fit_to_fight_rj_clare_sahrs1051.pdf

johnnybuyers.bsky.social•7 days ago

Encourages the Snowdens of the world.

informationbank.bsky.social•8 days ago

Is it too early to talk about impeachment?

armathius.bsky.social•8 days ago

It feels like we are giving China their window. President Musk already is planning on going after the Pentagon/DoD. It screams to China to take Taiwan as that is happening; we would struggle with a coherent response.

vegasdude83.bsky.social•8 days ago

Trump admin believes the strong should take what they want

aureliaaurelia.bsky.social•8 days ago

Think he might consider selling states to other countries?

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