Just under an hour slower than the first lap for Greig and Jared last year (8:46-ish,) and 1:15-ish slower than Jasmin's first lap (8:30-ish) last year. This isn't looking good.
I wonder what the ultimate correlation is between time and finish probability -- at first blush it seems like just athletics but given how it's going this year, I wonder if it's not just the mental fatigue and the calorie curve. It'll be fascinating to see who finishes with these times (anyone??)
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