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brendannyhan.bsky.social
•
8 days ago
Now hovering around a 50/50 probability of a recession *this year*
https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025?tid=1743685252917
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ajgenz.bsky.social
•
8 days ago
A 50% chance of a recession is what you'd get if you magically replaced Trump with a sane president who wasn't actively trying to break things (which is what the market consistently assumes).
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optimist-press.bsky.social
•
8 days ago
Dude, the chances of a recession are 💯. The chances of a depression are 50/50.
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maryklida.bsky.social
•
8 days ago
as evidenced by the number of businesses closing in urban areas. not hard to see if you look.
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gabbydp.bsky.social
•
8 days ago
What changed???
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