Looking at LD 4 State House shift from 2020. Comparing the top Dem candidate to GOP 2 it's easy to see LD 4 is a swing district.
2020 data uses pre-redistricting candidates.
In 2022 the top Dem candidate won, but the seat flipped back to GOP in 2024.
Precinct shift 👇
2020 data uses pre-redistricting candidates.
In 2022 the top Dem candidate won, but the seat flipped back to GOP in 2024.
Precinct shift 👇
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But in 2024, precincts not only flipped back to GOP wins but also had lower Dem victory margins.