Trump team were parroting kremlin talking points long before they became 'Trump Admin'. If negotiations happen w/o Ukraine, then they'd agree in a jiffy, since trump and putin don't disagree to begin with.
And if US pulls out, then W.European aid might simply collapse on its own since the govts might simply decide (like they did in Feb 2022) that Ukraine is finished and can't be helped.
I disagree, Germany, France, UK, Baltics, Scandinavia, Netherlands and Poland will stand with Ukraine come hell or high water. (Or the next elections). This has become a preeminent security issue for europe and EU has Russia hawks in charge. Plus Ukraine's Military industry is in much better spot.
P.S. The most positive case is that Europe would start rearming itself. ... Which is also negative for Ukraine since then most of the money & the MIC capacities would go into the domestic armed forces & stockpiles.
This won't even pause the war, there's no way russia will actually ceasefire. They will keep the conflict simmering with little escalations across the whole line of contact 24/7.
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Without US mil aid (what would obv happen if trump-putin agree) Ukraine front-line would start collapsing soon enough.
And it would start collapsing because of... what? Cossacks or maybe some bullet proof Dragoons.
As it happened already several times when US paused the supplies under the Biden Admin.
This is a dark hour for the free world.
https://bsky.app/profile/techunitedukraine.bsky.social/post/3lhxs4sydrk2u