Overall, the whole situation once again emphasizes that Europe has to do more and I’m not only talking about financial matters. The core issue is as mentioned earlier security guarantees. This can only be achieved with a robust intervention force.
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Sorry, but with the withdrawal of USA from all of it's commitments within NATO, we will need these deterrence and intervention troops in Baltic States first. Best security guarantee after NATO for Ukraine is Fench planes with nuclear payloads in Ukrainian skies.
European armies have to move into Ukraine and secure the territory. It will give Ukrainians not only the cover for defending themselves, but also give an unprecedented morale boost.
putin will do what he can to avoid this: it would mean losing all hope to get UA back into his orbit (unless domestic destabilization if UA, more difficult with EU membership coming)
This is what British and French want to do, after ceasefire, but it is not a good option. Only nukes or NATO membership will be enough of a deterrent for Ukraine. Besides, after having hands free from Ukraine, putin will attack Baltic States
We have to secure the sky first, and if there is a ceasefire in Ukraine, we will need troops in NATO countries bordering russia. Only two serious security guarantees for Ukraine are NATO membership or French nukes.
They need to get in the fight, and kick Russia out of Ukraine. Because it is their fight too.
The USA is now Russia's friend. The USA is not going to fight against European countries, but otherwise must be seen as part of the problem, like China and India. No negotiating with the USA.
Did nuclear blackmail prevent it? Genuine question. Supremely able and prepared Finland, for example, was not in NATO at the beginning and shares a long border with Russia....???
Although this might seem attractive at first, there are quite a few drawbacks for that scenario. Casualties will negatively impact popular support for ukraine immediately while doing the inverse inside Russia. I feel exhaustive financing of ukraine's military industrial complex is a priority.
after ramping up production to maximum levels, boots on the ground could be a valid option. But honestly, you are doing a pretty damn fine job at kicking russia's ass and I see some indications that the tide is turning in your favour.
It will underline that Ukraine is part of Europe and that we stand together no matter what. It is after all the most important lesson we have received the last days, but also the last 3 years.
Zelensky conclusively demonstrated Trump is a Russian asset. Now that we all know who's who, Europe is compelled to take security matters into its own hands. Victory for Kremlin imperialism is NOT an option. French & UK nuclear weapons should be upgraded. EU nations must ramp up weapons production.
🇺🇦alone sank the Black Sea Fleet, eliminated Chechens and Wagner, prisoners, Buryats, North Korean armies, developed entirely new weapons classes.
🇺🇦🇪🇺 is a huge strong army. 💪
The population of EU + UK is over half a billion citizens. It's GDP is well over 10x that of Russia. If Ukraine alone has held 3 years why wouldn't tge whole united Europe be able to back them off? Dept, financing, arms industry.. All of this is w/ the right will fixable. What matters is the will.
Also look at strategic positions. If the Orcs go crazy and attack NATO, even if the US doesn't come to aid, Finland can take Saint Petersburg and Putler knows this. Is he willing to let his birth city burn to the ground? Are his Mafia thugs willing to? Most of them are from Saint Petersburg.
I'm confident the Poles alone could secure the border with Belarus. It would cost money, but they have the kit, and more importantly, the motivation to do it.
Closing the skies West of the Dnipro could be achieved without too much trouble. Plus it would increase the readiness of European forces.
It depends on what you consider to be “Secure”. If it’s a garrison tasked with preventing small surprise raids and to create a diplomatic obstacle to an invasion then sure, we can do that.
If you want an actual defensive line able to hold off an attack idk. Remember we already have a border as is.
Even if its only a small'ish force at first, if they could be stationed along the Belarus/Ukraine border and take care of the constant barrage of Shahed/Ballistic missiles every day, it would free up Ukrainian troops. Plus they are exhausted, they need to be rotated out more and we should help
On the press in the Whitehouse, it was orchestrated as a friendly one to the current admin, with AP and Reuters having been ousted, and TSS allowed in. That 'suit' comment was esp. insulting given the reasons well known for Zelensky's attire (and the hypocrisy given Musks cabinet meeting attire!)
I will say one thing in Trump's defence, he did circle back and compliment Zelenskyy's clothes. Vance is obviously the shit-stirrer there, and if he's going to continue embarrassing Trump like that and wound his ego, that's a pressure point that can be exploited. Trump's cut people off over less
That is what I said in 2022, Europe must "occupy" part of Ukraine, the west part of the river Dnipro River and the Capital city, with all their mightiness, air cover and air defense and personal, freeing Ukraine Army to focused in the east part of the river.
the "occupy" is by the invitation of Ukraine. As a free country, sovereign Ukraine is able to invite whatever force to its country. Putin doesn't have any kind of opinion on the matter.
With Ukrainian forces having to concentrate only on the eastern part of the country, leaving the air defense of the capital, infrastructure sites, and cities in the western part in the hands of the Europeans, they can more easily defeat the invading forces.
If European forces arrive in Ukraine that is tantamount to declaring war on Russia. What will deter Russia from attacking Latvia, Poland, Finland since from their viewpoint Europe has entered into a war with Russia
Ukraine needs to get rid of certain obligations in order to concentrate on the front. Why spend troops on the border with Belarus or even in Lviv? Europe can take care of the western part of the country, not directly threatened by invasion.
This is my plan for EU. Protect/save half of the Ukraine (w Dniper) from RU invasion, free up Ukraine's forces to focus on the invaders.
In the meantime:
1. secure t infrastructure and supply lines, the logistical lines of war.
2. activate war production.
3. continue to economically strangle Russia
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The USA is now Russia's friend. The USA is not going to fight against European countries, but otherwise must be seen as part of the problem, like China and India. No negotiating with the USA.
I agree. But questions remain if they are strong enough, prepared and are willing to do so...
🇺🇸armies are 1.3 million.
🇪🇺🇺🇦 armies are 2.8 million.
🇺🇦alone sank the Black Sea Fleet, eliminated Chechens and Wagner, prisoners, Buryats, North Korean armies, developed entirely new weapons classes.
🇺🇦🇪🇺 is a huge strong army. 💪
🇺🇸has been holding 🇺🇦 back.
💪🇪🇺🇺🇦💪
Closing the skies West of the Dnipro could be achieved without too much trouble. Plus it would increase the readiness of European forces.
If you want an actual defensive line able to hold off an attack idk. Remember we already have a border as is.
Thank you for this
Europe entering Ukraine won't be NATO.
In the meantime:
1. secure t infrastructure and supply lines, the logistical lines of war.
2. activate war production.
3. continue to economically strangle Russia