My riding, formerly CSJAH. It looks like the anti-con vote is coalescing around one party. - ThreadSky

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kyleminogue.bsky.social • 59 days ago

My riding, formerly CSJAH. It looks like the anti-con vote is coalescing around one party.

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nz-sketches.bsky.social•59 days ago

Go, Dr.Doug! Go! 🤞

stungeye.com•59 days ago

I don't believe a NDP candidate for the riding been announced yet. Yeah?

kyleminogue.bsky.social•59 days ago

Correct. I don't see anything in the NDP page.

stungeye.com•59 days ago

Looks like the NDP have gotten between 13% and 15% in the past two elections in the riding.

kyleminogue.bsky.social•59 days ago

They draw well without trying. So there is support for NDP here.

richt1.bsky.social•59 days ago

Beware of the NDP entering a paper candidate at the last minute. They did that in 2021

gm0ney.bsky.social•59 days ago

Is this Morantz vs. Eyolfson again? Morantz won last time by just 460 votes, and with the NDP vote collapsing to the Liberals, it seems likely to be a Liberal win.

kyleminogue.bsky.social•59 days ago

Correct. Close both times in 2019, 2021.

ellenbees.bsky.social•59 days ago

It was pretty close during the last election, if I recall correctly.

stungeye.com•59 days ago

It was.

daveelmore12.bsky.social•59 days ago

Let’s hope we can say bye bye Marty.

kyleminogue.bsky.social•59 days ago

I hope so.

kyleminogue.bsky.social•59 days ago

Both 2021 and 2019.

andrewp1991.bsky.social•59 days ago

Remember, this isn’t a poll. It a projection, making an educated guess based on national and provincial/regional polling and applying a uniform swing. Local
Races could have affects that differ.

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