BEST DIRECTOR
Gonna win: Sean Baker, Anora
Oughta win: Walter Salles, I’m Still Here
(of the actual nominees, I’ll shrug and go with Brady Corbet for Brutalist)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Gonna win: The Brutalist or, again, possible upset by Anora
Oughta win: (shrugs) The Brutalist, I guess

(3/5)