BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Gonna win: Conclave
Oughta win: I’m Still Here
(of the actual nominees, I'll take Nickel Boys for sure)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
Gonna win: Emilia Pérez
Oughta win: I’m Still Here

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Gonna win: The Wild Robot
Oughta win: Flow

(4/5)