The rest of the world cannot wait for them to sober up. The Trump admin, every last GOP officeholder, must be removed from power, persecuted and executed if need be, before far worse that they at this point hope for is to occur to everyone else.
The chances of Republicans abandoning Trump are zero. He is delivering everything they ever wanted. Dems can only win by abandoning persuasion, ditching "unity," and switching to fullscale demonization of all Republicans to rally their own base in anger and determination to crush the GOP.
Politics has two drivers, persuasion and mobilization. In recent decades, persuasion has fallen off, with results now mostly due to differential turnout driven by the enthusiasm gap. Harris '24 showed this. So yes, I propose Dems do more to excite their low-turnout voters and demotivate the others.
I think the dem lack of fight also drives up the GOP number. Their voters don't see their agenda being slowed (and the pain of those policies haven't fully metastized yet)
Yeah one thing that's hard to tell is whether this is because people who are sufficiently unhappy just aren't identifying as Republicans (e.g. switching to independent or other self id) so more full zealots remain as a proportion of the total
Telling that the last time a party was net negative with its own base, was also the last time a party had just lost a 2nd election to the same president.
According to YouGov polling, Congressional Democrats' net favorability among Democratic voters dropped 29 points since the first week of the Trump presidency
Comments
The GOP one is what will stop Trump. Or won’t.
If people are happy with Congress & the economy etc. They aren’t going to stop him. I think the more recent data might tell a diff story.
Pretty sure politics is persuasion.
But mainly how does your math work? Are you proposing motivating non-voters, and only Dems?
One thing that has worked historically to depress low propensity voter turnout is to make them think both sides suck
Dems need to demonize the Right more to make swing voters stay home
And we should certainly push hard / negative on GOP.
Ultimately we need more voters. If someone knows how to turnout the non-voters and they are Dems. Let’s do that.
If they are happy. That’s a bad sign. But I don’t think the data’s clear yet.