Here's a much smaller question that still deserves credible discussion: what happens if AI tools give most working information professionals a 2x productivity boost?
What's the economic impact of that?
This outcome feels a whole lot more realistically likely to me than "AGI"
What's the economic impact of that?
This outcome feels a whole lot more realistically likely to me than "AGI"
Comments
Is this round any different?
NKDR loudspeakers in our pockets during those changes.
My own "laziness" frequently prevents me from getting nearly as much done with LLM generated code as I would if I could stay focused on those tasks for as long as possible
Yeah, I've debugged lots of code. 🤷
But the hair-on-fire narrative is not helping.
"What's holding back research isn't a lack of verbose, low-signal, high-noise papers. Using LLMs to automatically generate 100x more of those will not accelerate science, it will slow it down."
e.g. people supplementing edX/Udemy with LLM tutors, not being in U at all. Very uneven, again, but real effects.
We are better set up to incorporate automated TAs than we are to rethink curricula.
There are so many information sources out there, so building a network of people who you know are credible and trustworthy around different topics (and who believe the same of you) is crucial