This is really important data.

Going moderate tanks Dem turnout. (But we knew that already.)
Reposted from Adam Bonica
1/🧵 Following up on our study featured in NYT today, this figure provides a macro-level view:

Dem vote shares rise with turnout parity (left) but fall with party-level ideological moderation (right). This suggests mobilizing base voters > persuading swing voters by moving to the center.

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