This graphic from ARD sums up the difference that FDP and BSW in Bundestag (so at 5.0% or more) would make. Without FDP and BSW: CDU/CSU-SPD (grand coalition) possible With FDP and BSW: only tripartite coalition or minority government possible - ThreadSky

jeremycliffe.bsky.social • 9 hours ago

This graphic from ARD sums up the difference that FDP and BSW in Bundestag (so at 5.0% or more) would make.

Without FDP and BSW: CDU/CSU-SPD (grand coalition) possible
With FDP and BSW: only tripartite coalition or minority government possible

Comments

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

If result is anything like what projections are showing (8-9%), Left party has stunningly rebounded from the verge of oblivion.

Lots of reasons, but this speech is one of them. @heidireichinnek.de's viral takedown of Merz's AfD-adjacent migration stunt:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7bWsE_fMxI

omarsultan.me•9 hours ago

Perhaps, if nothing else, the US is also serving as an object lesson for the rest of the world.

gunnermir.bsky.social•6 hours ago

My German is rusty but that is some speech!

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

Popular SPD defence minister Boris Pistorius is on air. Some in party wonder - after worst result in federal German history - whether he would have been better chancellor candidate.

Like Scholz he congratulates CDU/CSU. But unlike Scholz takes aim at Merz tone during campaign.

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

ARD polling rather confirms this suspicion. Pistorius much the more appealing chancellor especially among CDU/CSU voters.

ortuttnauer.com•6 hours ago

Assuming Pistorius would’ve done better but still lose, is it a better outcome for SPD that they kept him relatively unscathed by this failure, and hopefully ready for 2029?

aleininger.bsky.social•6 hours ago

I'm putting my money on Klingbeil. Being popular in the polls is one thing, but in the end, the party decides. And here, the current party leader clearly has an edge over Pistorius.

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

Two untranslatable German words it may be useful to know right now:

- Ausschliesseritis, "ruling-out-itis": what happens when parties exclude so many options that almost nothing seems possible
- Wahlkrimi, "election thriller": a dramatically close election result

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

CSU’s Söder says that if FDP makes it into Bundestag, he would be for “Germany coalition” (CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP) rather than “Kenya coalition” (CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens).

winfeld.bsky.social•9 hours ago

Söder as always reliable racist.

jeremycliffe.bsky.social•9 hours ago

FDP’s Lindner, who as finance minister frustrated much of the traffic-light coalition’s modernising agenda and ultimately brought it down in November, seems shattered. He thanks party colleagues for their resilience.

bigworker.bsky.social•8 hours ago

Boooo the FDP and their obsession with austerity are what just brought down the last government!

maltec.bsky.social•9 hours ago

There’s a clear majority for a Kenya coalition minus Söder’s CSU …

rossfloate.bsky.social•6 hours ago

Seems like you translated them just fine.

benalpers.bsky.social•9 hours ago

Though it's hard to imagine a worse night for the SPD, how much difference could a stronger chancellor candidate have made? Would any of those CDU/CSU voters actually have voted SPD with Pistorius as the candidate?

sandervesik.bsky.social•2 hours ago

Very clearly the SPD should have ran with Pistorius. How it was not very clear inside SPD makes you wonder.

stedithstein.bsky.social•9 hours ago

Put Jesus first

drewmorton.bsky.social•5 hours ago

What a fucking speech.

usagi3939.bsky.social•8 hours ago

📌

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