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jeremycliffe.bsky.social
Editorial Director and Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations (@ecfr.eu) https://ecfr.eu/profile/jeremy-cliffe/
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As we wait for German polls to close, still time to read this @jeremycliffe.bsky.social piece on an election campaign that failed to face Germany's mighty challenges--"marked more by angst than urgency; more by handwringing and sloganeering than ambition or specificity." ecfr.eu/article/out-...

Los geht’s #BTW2025

ECFR has 10 new insights for your weekend.👇 📰 Read the full stories on our website: https://ecfr.eu/

Spoke to @fbermingham.bsky.social for this good overview of the China policy dimensions of Germany’s election tomorrow and its aftermath:

🇩🇪 Germany votes tomorrow! With a possible Trump-Putin deal on the horizon, how will the next German government navigate its support for Ukraine? @jeremycliffe.bsky.social & @jpuglierin.bsky.social w/ @gathmann.bsky.social & @gresselgustav.bsky.social 🎧 Tune in 👇

Good piece, @adamtooze.bsky.social, on Germany’s small-bore election campaign and the missed opportunity for a proper debate on the need to “upgrade and update its hitherto successful economic, technological and strategic model to face new challenges”. adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...

For those thinking through the European and foreign policy dimensions of Germany's momentous election on Sunday: @jpuglierin.bsky.social 's and my podcast Searching for Deutschland has now covered a number of the major issues with guests from @ecfr.eu and beyond ⬇️ ecfr.eu/podcast-seri...

What a privilege to be back in Syria this week. Joy and relief still, but an increasing sense that the honeymoon period is ending. The intensity of the deep, interlinking & very immediate econ, pol & security challenges are coming ever more to the fore & the fragility of the situation is clear

Talk about a Zeitenwende...

For those thinking through the European and foreign policy dimensions of Germany's momentous election on Sunday: @jpuglierin.bsky.social 's and my podcast Searching for Deutschland has now covered a number of the major issues with guests from @ecfr.eu and beyond ⬇️ ecfr.eu/podcast-seri...

Upping this thread on some of Merz’ key points on EU policy ahead of the elections on Sunday

Very important new paper, with original novel data showing that the bulk of EU subsidies in 2022-2024 were ploughed into fossil-fuel bailouts. Very little into future sectors and clean tech. The reality is that the EU hasn’t tried industrial policy yet - and has good cards for it to succeed.

🎧 @jeremycliffe.bsky.social & @jpuglierin.bsky.social blicken auf die #MSC2025 und sprechen mit @gathmann.bsky.social & @gresselgustav.bsky.social über Deutschlands Ukraine-Hilfe angesichts eines möglichen Trump-Putin-Deals – und die innenpolitischen Folgen. Ganze Folge 👉

Europe has to start treating Trump 2.0 less as a threat and more as a prospective opportunity. With some vision and will, it can use this moment to pursue its own course: - sharper common decision-making - more common action for shared priorities - greater common resources behind that action

"In recent years, however, the federal republic has functioned less as a European hub than as an obstacle to be circumvented." Good summary by @jeremycliffe.bsky.social of Germany's myopic election campaign and whether there's any hope it can reverse Berlin's absence on the European stage.

There's more complexity to Germany's relationship with its past than is often understood: remembrance, yes, but also forgetting; atonement, yes, but also complacency. @janboehm.bsky.social nails this story of Vergangenheitsbewältigung and Geschichtsvergessenheit: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/20/o...

📺 Last night’s debate confirmed what polls suggest: Merz is set to replace Scholz. Will a new government restore Germany’s European leadership? So far, the election has been more focused on domestic issues than geopolitical challenges. @jeremycliffe.bsky.social 📝

"If ever there were a moment demanding a stable Germany capable of convening and underwriting drastic European action, it is now."

Europe urgently needs a more collaborative and outward-looking Germany. But its election campaign - anchored more in the world of the mid-2010s than that of 2025 - ominously points in the opposite direction. My (mostly) gloomy @ecfr.eu take: ecfr.eu/article/out-...

If Europe hopes to safeguard its own sovereignty and values, it must strategically decouple and dramatically lessen its dependence on US tech companies that are either seeking confrontation or are otherwise vulnerable to being weaponised by Washington ↘️https://on.ft.com/4hJDSFF

“Europeans need to stop asking why the Americans cut them out and demonstrate that they need to be cut in. They need to show not just that they have assets, but that they can strategically deploy (or withhold) them as part of a negotiation” ecfr.eu/article/lett...

Grazie @ilfoglio.bsky.social per questa intervista sulle elezioni tedesche e sul perché sono importanti per il resto d'Europa: www.ilfoglio.it/esteri/2025/...

Mange tak!

Excellent, clear-eyed take on Europe's response to Trump 2.0 by @gideonrachman.bsky.social. In short: - build up own defence *and* own defence industries - European mutual defence pact inc UK & Norway - comprehensive de-risking of European vulnerabilities to US www.ft.com/content/11f1...

Excellent 🧵on the Europeans at the #MSC2025 by my colleague @jeremycliffe.bsky.social

Interesting European line up in Paris tomorrow 🇫🇷 Macron 🇩🇪 Scholz 🇬🇧 Starmer 🇮🇹 Meloni 🇵🇱 Tusk 🇪🇸 Sánchez 🇳🇱 Schoof 🇩🇰 Frederiksen 🇪🇺 VdL 🇪🇺 Costa NATO's Mark Rutte

Good, sober analysis from @jeremycliffe.bsky.social

New report on the coming transatlantic collisions on NATO/ Ukraine/tech/trade/climate/int order/China. It’s gonna feel like everything all at once. Europe staring at a post-American future for first time since WWII. 🧵https://www.csis.org/analysis/transatlantic-alliance-age-trump-coming-collisions