Just about complete with state turnout rates, with still just a few more states left to post final numbers. Here's a 2020 (Blue) to 2024 (Orange) turnout rates with green arrows identifying turnout rate increases
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Living in a non-battleground state makes it hard for people to care. If everyone's vote counted the same, I would hope this would look very different. This system is toxic.
It looks like, if you held turnout in each state to 2020 levels, the polling aggregate becomes very precise? (Harris a little ahead in PV but a little behind in EV)? This would make polling error in 2024 very simple to explain - and hard to prevent.
The key battleground states of WI, MI, PA, GA, and NV all saw increases from 2020 to 2024 (as did ND and RI, but the increases were very small). Every other state saw turnout rate declines
Oregon’s voting system is probably the coolest thing I have seen in a state so far. When you get your license you are registered to vote. You have to opt out of voting. Every ballot and pamphlet is mailed to you and you either mail it in or drop it off before Election Day closes. Easy-pezy
Wonder if this election data hub is on the BRAC list for fElon's
BRAC is normally Base Realinement and Closure
but it will stand for Billionaires Ruin Anything Cool
If I had to guess one is talking about raw numbers of voters and the other is talking about a percentage of voters. Looking at the methodology it looks like it's just percentage of voters vs number of people of voting age? Would be more interested in seeing number of registered voters personally.
This is depressing...no wonder everyone is screaming about it being impossible that he won, the media kept screaming "highest voter registration numbers ever!" and "highest voter turnout in history!" when these numbers prove THEY LIED...again...just to get the views and clicks.
#BoycottMSM
Dems were always worried about national races while the GOP won statehouses to obstruct. Now they’re winning. Voter turnout hinges accessible, engaging, and equitable the process feels. GOP obstruction, blocking mail-in voting same-day registration, suppresses turnout—it’s working. Reforms essential
How does no one see what is clear as day?!? The statistical probability that the ONLY states with increased turnout were the battleground states is almost zero! If it was solely around media buys and rally’s we would see this in other elections and we don’t.
There should be a focused recount on the counties with the highest increase in turnout. I'd bet Musk did some voting for people that we don't know about.
Comments
BRAC is normally Base Realinement and Closure
but it will stand for Billionaires Ruin Anything Cool
#BoycottMSM