Does anyone know where it says RIFs can start after 30 days of a lapse in appropriations? I know a RIF can occur due to lack of funds, but don’t see anything about 30 days. I’m not sure whether lack of funds is the same as a lapse, or whether it means Congress chose not to fund a particular program.
who are the 7 Dem Quislings who will vote for cloture? Fetterman is one. Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has said he will vote against the continuing resolution but will have vote for cloture?
I am afraid Dems will vote for cloture but virtue signal by voting against the CR. in other words be useless.
Rand Paul is uniquely performative. Every news source for decades uses "60 votes are needed to pass" type wording and focuses on the cloture vote numbers.
But I do worry there are 6 Ds + Fett who will miss the moment and try to bipartisan friend this.
"What unites all...is a fundamental lack of understanding of the nature and uses of political power. Every argument here is reactive, trying to limit harm..."
Everyone is gonna get burned & know someone who loses a limb anyway.
That's objectively better than annihilation
great analysis. the senior Dems need to get their shit together and actually get their party on the same page with their constituents. they need to pull their heads out of the ground and use every tool at their disposal to prevent defectors. otherwise what the actual fuck are they doing?!
You’d think the Senate Democrats would take a lesson from the Canadian, Mexican and Ukrainian leaders and tell Trump to take a hike. He always folds, every time, always.
This Bill passed with with 0 GOP House Member & 1 GOP Senator who would ever run again as a Republican (Collins). In the middle of the worst recession since the Great Depression.
Despite it, the GOP kicked the living shit out of us in 2010.
Likely to be a lot of pissed off Feds who wouldn't protest in a typical shutdown who are energized.
Musk shutdown.
Congress normally play these games until Feds are on the brink of missing paychecks. The moment there's 1 or even 2 missed paychecks. 2nd order effects kick in.
The question now is will they actually allow defectors, aside from Fetterman, who is gone? I agree — take this risk now and get dirty. Dems can wipe themselves off and move on; the potential to obstruct the GOP agenda here is greater than temporary perceptual loss for Dems.
The first line of the last paragraph: “The public is already visibly turning against what’s happening.”
And so is Wall Street & the wider business community. Regardless of a shutdown, Musk will continue…& he seems clueless in knowing what the outer boundaries are. Public alarm will increase.
They have to make a stand or they will be approaching a point of no return with more apathy and erosion of support in the base. To effectively complete this maneuver Dems have to pounce and be ready to go hard and loudly at Republicans and make no qualms about who is to blame and why.
Great piece.
Let’s hope they listen…..
though the words ‘prone to cowardly appeasement’ have been floating through my mind nonstop since Inauguration Day
at most I can see Dems agreeing to a 30 day CR which should be enough to show how badly the economy is going but not too long to destroy the gov't.
the debt limit is coming too. with Trump tax cuts planned I am sure much more quickly but I imagine Dems will cave on that when it happens.
Democratic voters should riot at their nearest Vichy Dem HQ of any Dem that votes for this. Schumer and Jeffries are not fit to lead. No corrupt NY Dems.
What's worse, giving Trump a blank check to keep his agenda moving forward or a government shutdown? I'm terrified of how quickly our federal government is cracking under the weight of the Trump/Musk wrecking ball.
There is one more argument for why the Senate Ds should vote NO. If the CR passes with Dems help, it will rightly be seen as Dems caving and Democratic voters are likely to lose faith. Game over.
Comments
I am afraid Dems will vote for cloture but virtue signal by voting against the CR. in other words be useless.
But I do worry there are 6 Ds + Fett who will miss the moment and try to bipartisan friend this.
"What unites all...is a fundamental lack of understanding of the nature and uses of political power. Every argument here is reactive, trying to limit harm..."
Everyone is gonna get burned & know someone who loses a limb anyway.
That's objectively better than annihilation
Despite it, the GOP kicked the living shit out of us in 2010.
We can vote No
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Recovery_and_Reinvestment_Act_of_2009
Musk shutdown.
Congress normally play these games until Feds are on the brink of missing paychecks. The moment there's 1 or even 2 missed paychecks. 2nd order effects kick in.
Anyone/everything with this message. We have ONE day to keep them from cowering.
And so is Wall Street & the wider business community. Regardless of a shutdown, Musk will continue…& he seems clueless in knowing what the outer boundaries are. Public alarm will increase.
I hope they hear us!
Let’s hope they listen…..
though the words ‘prone to cowardly appeasement’ have been floating through my mind nonstop since Inauguration Day
…as you laid out at the beginning, the Dems haven’t laid any groundwork for *what* they want in return.
“Stop all this [waves vaguely in all directions]” doesn’t seem like an actionable demand.
the debt limit is coming too. with Trump tax cuts planned I am sure much more quickly but I imagine Dems will cave on that when it happens.
“Either Congress decides what gets funded or DOGE does. If the GOP wants DOGE to do it, then why are they wasting everyone’s time voting on a CR?”
Any GOP assertion of the CR’s necessity is a confession to DOGE’s illegitimacy.
It's been a circus tent the entire time