Home Office modelling of the new international student levy assumes the 6% tax is passed on in degree price and will lead to a further 1.6% decline in postgraduate numbers. On top of the 16% or so fall we've already seen IIRC. (1/2)
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Shortening the length of the graduate route visa will then lead to a 3.5% decline. So overall it's another 5% chop to numbers - if we belive the model. Some institutions will simply not be able to take that. So π€·ββοΈ (2/2)
is this a reduction of 3.5% in *all* students, or of *international graduate students*? And has the modelling taken into account the cost of the resulting increased unemployment to the Treasury?
I genuinely don't understand why they want to deepen the crisis. Are they really ready for what is coming? There will be Reform voters' own kids among the students who are stuffed when universities collapse.
Including students in net migration figures (originally not a labour policy I know) is profound misjudgement. Vast majority return home upon completing their studies & visa term. To conflate temporary educational migration with long-term immigration is analytically flawed & politically stupid.
Is anybody modelling the impact of the end of the home fee grace period for UK students from the EU that expires on 31.12.2027 on applications from that cohort? We are getting lots of enquiries from UK families in the EEA/CH who canβt afford international fees from 2028.
With these new rules and fee increases the UK is not just turning its back on international students but on its own UK citizen teenagers who want to study there. It makes no sense.
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