The main learning of this is that democrats have a better understanding of the economy than republicans. How can anyone honestly believe that a single election can make a big country go from fantastic to horrible overnight?
The really interesting thing is that both bars move in synch, which indicates that the shifts do reflect some change in actual material conditions, but there's so much noise from partisan hackery.
Sure, it doesn’t necessarily mean that, but it’s hard to think what else would influence people across the media spectrum and you can very clearly see the pandemic crash, recovery, and inflation spike
Well sure but we're talking about lots of people doing fairly complex stuff like thinking about the world and then responding to some questions about it.
There's a lot going on. I think it'd be premature to only entertain the possibilities that seem intuitive to us, or are easy to come up with.
Really? You think the question how do you feel about the economy, the answers to which plummeted when a bunch of people lost their jobs and could buy anything, is that complicated?
It seems like you wouldn’t see much in the way of synched up variation in that case. If people were responding to a million different signals wouldn’t you expect to see much more chaos in their responses and therefore basically flat lines
Not surprising that self described partisans respond in a partisan way. The argument from materialists/socialists is that neither party does anything like enough for people, and that both parties represent the interest of capital exclusively.
About half of what internet Marxists think is standard orthodox Marxism is actually stuff some dude said on a podcast called the Pre-Cum Daddies in 2017 which sounded good at the time
whether consumer sentiment is a valid proxy for this aside, this image just shows that partisanship is a confounding variable that needs to be controlled for, as it is incredibly obvious the two lines move up and down in tandem.
Democrats see, quite correctly, that Republican administrations put a lot of people like teachers and health care workers out of a job. Republicans believe, incorrectly, that Democratic administrations put construction workers and people who work in the oil field out of work.
Thank you!
Questions 2–5 are forward-looking, so shifts in sentiment by party can probably be explained, in part, by their knowledge and understanding of both candidate’s economic plans and each one’s likely impact. Dems tend to understand how tariffs will cause bad inflation & Reps don’t.
Better educated, willing to listen to experts (vs. Catturd), better able to synthesize information, more willing to question and disagree with people within their own party.
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There's a lot going on. I think it'd be premature to only entertain the possibilities that seem intuitive to us, or are easy to come up with.
You did notice there's more to the x-axis than just the moment when the pandemic started, right?
Amazing to watch lib understandings of the world get reinvented in real time.
Superstructural factors can affect the base. Weber's Protestant Ethics, again, a century ago, was an attempt at demonstrating such causal chains.
I don't know if these online Marxists actually read.
https://bsky.app/profile/cityenjoyer.bsky.social/post/3lbex2tiyf22w
Questions 2–5 are forward-looking, so shifts in sentiment by party can probably be explained, in part, by their knowledge and understanding of both candidate’s economic plans and each one’s likely impact. Dems tend to understand how tariffs will cause bad inflation & Reps don’t.