Has anyone seen a good time-line/expectation extrapolating the order of things hit as China/international tariff scarcity starts to bite America? When and how does food production get hit? Assuming difficulty obtaining widgets and "doohickeys" for machinery will hit eventually...
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https://www.investors.com/news/trump-trade-war-difficult-decisions-as-china-shipments-cease/
That said, I think Trump is looking for an excuse to declare a state of emergency to seize more power, so things could be about to get a lot worse.
+ a lot of “Made in America” means assembled in America from imported parts.
Ugly.
So since the ball drops in May and missed payments should start in June, so the Second Housing Crisis should start around Oct 1
(Till tonight I thought that Temu was something older people use for incontinence but that’s Tena)
The bigger the machine, the bigger the issue.
Story old as time.
Lesson still not learnt.
Was crucial during Covid and Panama canal blockage... has some great and intriguing movements right around the globe.
https://bsky.app/profile/kaypeapod.bsky.social/post/3lnvnbd72uk2j
https://prospect.org/blogs-and-newsletters/tap/2024-10-04-bidens-amazing-win-settling-dock-strike/
J/k, because of course his record was mixed on supporting unions. Imagine how big of a turning point this could be if we had a strong, worker-focused leader to rise up to the moment.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/28/empty-shelves-trucking-layoffs-lead-to-recession-in-apollos-trade-war-timeline.html
Early-to-mid May: Container ships..come to a stop
Mid/late May: Trucking demand comes to a halt..empty shelves and lower sales for companies
Late May to early June: Layoffs in trucking and retail industries
Summer 2025: recession
Source: Apollo Global Management
Train lines affected, too, in much the same way.
Vizualize a blast wave propagating outward. It all doesn't happen at once, everywhere.
Not sure this helps. I tried. 🙇