sorry, ESA, but three separate observations of 2.4 3.1 and 0.8 are not a trend. three data points are a weak [reductive] inference of a pattern. from this, a trend might be subsequently inferred if the data supports it. data is plural here. this is properly classified as a clownward trend.
Reposted from
European Space Agency
☄️ 🔭 The impact probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 has dropped from 2.8% to 0.16%.
Thanks to new observations, Earth is now at the edge of our shrinking ‘uncertainty window.’
If this trend continues, the risk may soon reach 0%.
Thanks to new observations, Earth is now at the edge of our shrinking ‘uncertainty window.’
If this trend continues, the risk may soon reach 0%.
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