The ECMWF Annual ENSO Plumes came out earlier this week and there is general consensus through the spring predictability barrier reaching neutral warm/weak ENSO+, but beyond that a whole assortment of possibilities exist as we head into the second half of 2025.
Comments
Feb 2020: Predicted Warm Neutral -> got La Niña
Feb 2021: Predicted Neutral -> got double dip La Niña
Feb 2022: Predicted Neutral -> got triple dip La Niña