Odds now up to 3.1%. A 1 in 32 chance. I have seen that it has been said "then the chances drop to 0 when these types of things come back around and get close". But still: "we" (fully funded and working...nasa?) will have to prepare for 7 years as if it's not 0. https://www.livescience.com/space/asteroids/chance-of-city-killer-asteroid-2024-yr4-smashing-into-earth-rises-yet-again-to-3-1-percent-nasa-reports