70sbachchan.bsky.social
Alternately Defiant, Dispirited, and Despondent. Without illusions but not disillusioned. Focus on Climate, Inequality and Development.
I co-edit the Polycrisis project and newsletter https://www.phenomenalworld.org/series/the-polycrisis/
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I’ll try to unpack some of this essay because there are many points & ideas here. Firstly: hard to overstate the scale of this moment for the EU. “our Europe is mortal. It can die,” Macron warned last year. The EU originated as a peace project, developed in Atlanticism and later, globalisation.
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This is the best and most honest description of the future politics of europe. Our essay is just an attempt to read the tea leaves. www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
bsky.app/profile/essi...
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@70sbachchan.bsky.social
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Case for originating a lot of dollar / Euro denominated short duration exposure (build more renewables! Tranche it like MBS) in EM looks strong.
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Also this is obvious but in a world in which more of the "western" power alliances are splintering even as other dubious great powers rise, the global South has somewhat more leverage. Tho whether that leverage gets harnessed to anything useful or good is a completely open q
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One thing that is fascinating: Completely aside from the values question of a peace budget v military Keynesianism, how much
Europe truly has hamstrung its own aspirations to global power (and other goals) through a constrained fiscal policy
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Really illuminating piece
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
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Europe has entered its metal era.
If European leaders are unhappy with Trump, they should stop talking and start acting.
NEW: @katemac.bsky.social & I @phenomenalworld.bsky.social
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
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Can the EU survive without NATO created 75 years ago to ‘keep the Germans down, the Russians out,& the Americans in’?
@katemac.bsky.social & I on how politics of Europe are changing as it decides to invest in sinews of power in the 21st C: defense,energy,& tech
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
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Europe has entered its metal era.
If European leaders are unhappy with Trump, they should stop talking and start acting.
NEW: @katemac.bsky.social & I @phenomenalworld.bsky.social
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
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Just wanted to highlight this paper voxdev.org/topic/techno...
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hi, tom
Send us your thoughts on any question, and tell us if you’d like to be anonymous or credited, and we’ll publish your takes in our next dispatches.
you can email: me or Kate. Or join our discord group. (email addresses on bottom here)
buttondown.com/polycrisisdi...
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More importantly, as always, SPD is NOT the main supplier of new AfD voters.
Most new AfD voters did not vote in 2021 (not only first voters!).
Right-wing parties CDU and FDP were main suppliers.
Despite hype, BSW took virtually nothing from AfD.