Profile avatar
afpanalytics.bsky.social
Hockey analytics consulting firm providing innovative insight to fans, agents, & teams. Focus on player valuation. Weekly episodes of the MaxTermPod. Still hanging around X. @kylestich.bsky.social @jamesfinch.bsky.social Linktree: https://t.co/u2eaEq14HM
73 posts 269 followers 132 following
Prolific Poster

With Rantanen signed, Mitch Marner now becomes our top projected pending UFA. #LeafsForever #NHLTradeDeadline

24 Hours until the #NHLTradeDeadline!⌛

A couple weeks ago, John Tavares mentioned wanting an extension with the Toronto Maple Leafs. He could get a very solid contract in free agency (see projection) but feeling in #NHL community is he could potentially take a slightly more team friendly AAV to stay in TOR. #LeafsForever

Based off the trends of past trade deadlines (provided by CapWages.com), trade noise will probably start heating up today as we head into deadline day tomorrow . #NHL #NHLTradeDeadline

🚨New Max Term Pod is live! In this week’s episode, @jamesfinch.bsky.social put together his trade board. Players, trade cost, and fits were all discussed. Available wherever you get your #podcasts! #MaxTerm #NHL

🚨 A new Max Term Pod episode is live! Part 1 of a trade deadline series, @kylestich.bsky.social provides his trade board as we run through potential availability, prices, and fits for the players who appear on it. Available wherever you get your podcasts! #NHL

Lines for Canada 🇨🇦 vs USA 🇺🇸. Canada 🇨🇦 is missing Morrissey who is out sick. Harley draws in, paired with Doughty again (they were very good together earlier in the tournament). Sanheim now with Parayko. USA 🇺🇸 has all forwards healthy, Kreider in instead of Connor. #4Nations

We won't have a new Max Term Podcast episode this week, but be on the lookout early half of NEXT week as we will have a trade deadline related episode dropping👀 Stay tuned! #NHL

Lines for USA 🇺🇸 vs Sweden 🇸🇪 M. Tkachuk, McAvoy, Matthews out. Hellebuyck resting, Oettinger starting w/ Swayman backing up. Rakell & Zibanejad out, Carlsson in & Andersson also draws in w/ Sweden 🇸🇪 running 11/7. Ullmark out, Ersson gets the start. #4Nations #4NationsFaceoff #NHL

Lines for Canada 🇨🇦 vs Finland 🇫🇮. Canada 🇨🇦 jumbles their lines, Konecny in for Jarvis, Makar in for Harley. For Finland 🇫🇮, Armia in for Tervainen, Kakko flips to L1, Lehkonen to L4. Binnington vs Lankinen. Here we go! #4Nations #4NationsFaceoff #NHL

Lines for tonight’s USA 🇺🇸 vs Canada 🇨🇦 matchup. #4Nations #4NationsFaceoff #NHL

Lines for Finland 🇫🇮 vs Sweden 🇸🇪. Lankinen starts over Saros, Kakko in for Armia. No changes for Sweden. Both teams looking for a win after losing this past Thursday. Puck drop moments away! #4Nations #NHL

🚨A new Max Term Podcast episode is live! James and Kyle take a look at some trade targets who could soon be moved! Available on all platforms! #NHL

Expected lineups for both USA 🇺🇸 and Finland 🇫🇮 👇 #4Nations #NHL

Lineups for the #4Nations matchup between Sweden 🇸🇪 and Canada 🇨🇦 #NHL

There might only be one top6 center rental available via trade: #Isles Brock Nelson. Then an ideal 2-way 3C in #SeaKraken Yanni Gourde. From there, a slight drop but quality Cs like #NHLBruins Trent Frederic or #GoHabsGo Jake Evans. Do they move in trade or sign extensions? #NHL

🚨New Max Term Podcast episode is live! We revisit our start of the season predictions (standings, playoffs, awards), discuss what went right and wrong, and then provide revised predictions. Available on all platforms! #NHL

🎙️ 👀

Solid deal for Marcus Pettersson and the Canucks. The top 4 Dman gets an extra year over projection, but that may have allowed Vancouver to keep the AAV down. In our eyes, this is fair for both sides. #Canucks #NHL

🚨ICYMI: A new Max Term Pod went live this past Friday where we discussed some changes we’d like to see within the #NHL CBA. Available on all platforms!👇

Our recently released midseason contract projections have been updated to use the estimated $95.5M AAV in calculations. Reminder that we are projecting the cap hit %, so this is updating the AAV calculation based on the % and cap estimate #NHL docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

NEW Max Term Podcast episode is live! The episode includes discussion on the CBA and changes we'd be interested in seeing. Available on all platforms! #NHL

#Flames Kuzmenko & Pelletier go to #LetsGoFlyers for Frost & Farabee. Everyone but Farabee is in need of a new deal. Kuzmenko, Farabee, & Frost are all players who seemingly could benefit from a change of scenery.

Our top RFA goalie this coming offseason is currently Lukas Dostal of the Anaheim Ducks. Dostal appears to be solidifying himself as the #1 goalie for #FlyTogether. Below, you can find his current long and short term projections👇 #NHL

Our top RFA defenseman for this upcoming offseason is currently Evan Bouchard of the Edmonton Oilers. Clear top pair defenseman who should see $10M+ AAV on a #MaxTerm contract. Projection👇 #NHL #LetsGoOilers

ICYMI: New Max Term Podcast went live Friday! We covered our contract projections and gave a look into the Max stat! You can listen wherever you get your podcasts! #NHL

@afpanalytics.bsky.social estimated Logan Thompson's contract at 5 x $6.13M. It came in at 6 x $5.85. Very close again. How close will they be with their estimates for Armia, Dvorak, Evans and Savard. Check them out. #Habs docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Our top RFA forward this coming offseason is currently Wyatt Johnston of the Dallas Stars. A top-6 center with wing flexibility, Johnston could go long term or short term. Projections for both options👇 #NHL #TexasHockey

Our top UFA goalie is locked up. Logan Thompson and the Capitals have a deal! Pretty fair deal for both sides. Good for team to get done as he was trending up this season. What does this mean for Charlie Lindgren's future with the Capitals? #NHL #ALLCAPS

ICYMI: New Max Term Pod episode is live! We gave an overview of our recently released contract projections and mixed in a look into the early stages of the Max stat! You can listen wherever you get your podcasts, link to apple/spotify is below #NHL

Will Borgen and the New York Rangers have a deal. 5x$4.1M. This is a little high based off our projection of 3x~$3.6M. 2 extra years and an extra ~500k over projection. Solid deal for Borgen, a 2nd/3rd pair defenseman. #NHL #NYR

We had discussed Rantanen as part of our extension release episode on @maxtermpod.bsky.social. We also touched on what our MAX Stat is. tr.ee/0PYAaK77N0

Mikko Rantanen to the Carolina Hurricanes! WOW! Do they extend him before July 1st?!? #RaiseUp #NHL #GoAvsGo

The top UFA goalie projection in our recent contract release is Washington Capitals netminder Logan Thompson. #NHL #ALLCAPS

🚨NEW @MaxTermPod EPISODE🚨 Discussion includes an overview of the contract projections themselves and the upcoming free agent landscape, as well as providing insight into the Max Stat (beta) and what it exactly is/means. Available on your preferred platform. #NHL

One of our goals is to try to be transparent (without giving “trade secrets” away). This round, a “trending” column was added to show if the projection is trending up or down in relation to previous projection. (Currently based on +/- 250k of AAV, potential switch to +/- of % (tbd) being discussed).

A very good resource for those wanting to discuss contract negotiations is @afpanalytics.bsky.social They have been amazingly accurate with their projections and even publish their percentage of error on their misses to give you some confidence in their level of accuracy. #Habs #NHL

🎙️ #MaxTermPod 👀

The top pending UFA (unrestricted free agent) defenseman within our recently released projections is Washington Capitals d-man Jakob Chychrun #NHL #ALLCAPS

2024-2025 Midseason Extension Projections are now live! Check out the 289 different projections (some RFAs having a long & short term projections) at the link below👇 #NHL

Our top projection from our midseason extension projections list is Colorado Avalanche forward Mikko Rantanen. He is currently projected to receive an 8 year contract with a cap hit % of 14.30%. This would translate to an AAV of $13,227,500 and a total contract value of $105,820,000. #NHL #GoAvsGo

Between multiple holidays, travel, and sicknesses, we have been fairly quiet on the podcast scene... Be ready for a new Max Term Podcast later this week👀 #NHL