akaashkolluri.bsky.social
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In the House it is specifically a Dem problem - the GOP conference prohibits members from serving >3 consecutive terms as chair/RM. That + caucus instability post-2014 precludes gerontocracy from setting in.
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Tbh I think 95% of discourse re:young men/young women on here and Twitter is cope for a basic level of powerlessness
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"Fix the young men" has the same air as "deradicalize the wwc" discourse from 2017-2021
In neither case are the groups in question marginal or extreme enough to be fixed. Approach needs to be finding ways to persuade and hold; the former should be made easier post-Liberation Day
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I got a lot out of my conservative professors at undergrad and grad (and still do on Twitter), so I do get the value.
But how much of this is "universities aren't opening their doors" and how much is "conservatives are so hostile towards academia that there just arent many con profs"?
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7) Box office trackers have a saying that a sequel (or new franchise entry) "pays for the sins of its predecessors". Assessing the success of a 100-day campaign without analysis of the last few years in policy and culture should be extremely suspect
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5) apart from ROK, my read is that while the sexes have diverged, young women have zoomed far more left than young men have gone right - analysis of extremism should factor that into consideration.
6) political culture has as much to do with winning as policy prescriptions
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3) there should be less of a focus on messaging and more of a focus on being heard at all - no one needs to listen to liberals these days
4) empowering young men to succeed in the 21st century and winning them over are somewhat related, but fundamentally different questions altogether.
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Itd be easier if we were better electorally distributed
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DRC and my smartphone
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Fair enough, but my point is justthat a lot of college students were not on campus in 2020 bc of Covid, so comparing county/precinct results between cycles may not be a good way to compare college students' votes
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How does this account for the unique circumstances in 2020, when many college students were off campus?
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What differentiates "emotional anxiety" (cheating) from "emotional anxiety" (Carlos Alcaraz mishit a forehand down break point)?
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Yeah, but I'm not even talking about the public, I'm talking about *the people who use the slogan*.
You definitely can't convince the public that your slogan moderate than it sounds when its creators can reasonably take out an NYT op-ed saying "Yes, We Mean Abolish Immigration Enforcement"
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Unfortunately there are a lot of people to whom it very much means "eliminate immigration controls".
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You killed Jill AND HAAR??? That's the best 2 non-lord units in the game, amazing
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And with abolish the police, you have people who want to shift some funding to support social services, as well as those who believe that the police should be done away with or at least sharply curtailed.
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With Abolish ICE, you have people who want ICE and DHS gutted as bureaucratic structures and have their functions returned to other bodies, and then the people who believe internal immigration enforcement is inherently immoral.
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Well you wouldn't want 100%. That last 10% are nasty things like "preferences", "ambitions" or "quirks"
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Sort of disagree here; think its more a sign of how this admin (like its predecessor tbh) sees the relationship as being run out of the NSC and higher echelons of State. That Jaishankar was front and center at the inauguration + was Rubio/Waltz's first bilateral engagement is still signifcant imo.
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Idk how deep into an exchange you were, but fwiw I'll sometimes block people to end an argument when i sense myself going back for another reply over and over
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In terms of reading (lmk if I'm spamming):
www.stimson.org/2020/pulwama... is a good read, just know that every trend described here has accelerated, and policy recs arent terribly useful atp)
Also a good read: www.christopherorenclary.com/uploads/3/9/7/7/39777795/clary_ceasefire_2024_final.pdf
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I had a couple thoughts here:
bsky.app/profile/akaa...
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You'll probably need to use Twitter tbh. Thats where the Indians and the Pakistanis and the serious analysts are
@claryc.bsky.social and @pstaniland.bsky.social are a couple good follows who post here semi-frequently
I've been trying to post stuff as I see it too.
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In terms of what the US might do:
2019 marked the first time the US did not attempt to play the role of a neutral mediator, and the US has only grown closer to India (and farther from Pakistan) since then. My baseline would be to expect full support for India's response at the outset
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Fwiw the headline in the OP is inaccurate - the IWT has been *suspended* ("kept in abeyance") not ended altogether
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No one knows for sure. The diplomatic response so far suggests something more serious than Pulwama, but impossible to say for sure. There's an all-party meeting in Delhi tomorrow, which should maybe give some further insight
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Yooooooo
Get ready to enjoy peak*
*offer does not apply to support conversations
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The other thing I'd say is that these values are only sustainable abroad insofar as they're respected at home. What's the "promote human rights" constituency in a world where law firms and universities are bending the knee, and businesses are self censoring?
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Now of course its more than a bit hypocritical coming from former IRI board chairman Marco Rubio, who was more than happy to see DRL pursue goals at odds with the policy of the president when it came to some countries, but I do think policy should be generally aligned.
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Right now, 🇧🇾/🇷🇺 players have been in the spotlight because of the war. Otherwise, players like Swiatek, Sinner, Alcaraz are apolitical. And then there's Djokovic....
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Tennis is weird because of how international the sport is. I'd say American male players are sharply right of the average fan, while American women players are generally in line with their fans.
Beyond that, again, it gets weird
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At the scale that they can bring to bear though, those seem like much more solvable problems than the ones we face.