akoustov.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

This person has no idea how many people have died, or will die, as a result of shattering our entire global infrastructure for providing lifesaving assistance. He did no analysis of those impacts before the reckless and illegal obliteration of USAID. These statements are made-up assertions.

submitted 14 hours ago • 1 comment

Does anyone have good examples of social science measures that have calculated sensitivity and specificity? Would be interesting to have some measures across fields

submitted 14 hours ago • 1 comment

Germany’s far-right AfD made historic gains in the 2025 elections, winning 20.8% of the vote. Despite this, mainstream parties refuse to govern with them. What’s next for #Germany? @akoustov.bsky.social tells us in this new post: goodauthority.org/news/germany...

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

German concerns about immigration—and thus the AfD—won’t fade on their own. While there's broad agreement on stricter integration rules and support for skilled migration, dissatisfaction remains high. Until policies align with public preferences, immigration will stay a top issue

submitted 5 days ago • 1 comment

New voices join Good Authority! We welcome nine political scientists to our team of experts in our latest cohort of Good Authority fellows. Learn more here: goodauthority.org/news/new-voi...

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

German concerns about immigration—and thus the AfD—won’t fade on their own. While there's broad agreement on stricter integration rules and support for skilled migration, dissatisfaction remains high. Until policies align with public preferences, immigration will stay a top issue

submitted 5 days ago • 1 comment

Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all? Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left at even higher rates.

submitted 8 days ago • 440 comments

I see many folks here are again talking about the lack of immigrants in East Germany as the cause of xenophobia there. But migrants rarely settle randomly, and many of the long-standing differences between East and West, like the poorer economy, can better explain why Easterners are more concerned.

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

I had a blast joining the GAI folks on Congress, Two Beers In to discuss my recent report on congressional primaries and their impacts on member behavior! Fun to be a guest on a pod I’ve long listened to! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

submitted 45 days ago • 1 comment

When gauging public reactions to the latest controversy, it's important not to conduct or share misleading polls. Our new paper in Public Opinion Quarterly is a template for how to (and how not to) poll about the effect of political developments. Gift link: academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

submitted 7 days ago • 2 comments

Are there any longstanding public opinion trackers on immigration in Germany updated recently that go back before 2016? (apart from ESS/SOEP)

submitted 9 days ago • 1 comment

Are there any longstanding public opinion trackers on immigration in Germany updated recently that go back before 2016? (apart from ESS/SOEP)

submitted 9 days ago • 1 comment

I am keeping a diary of daily events, as they unfold open.substack.com/pub/adamprze... It is available to everyone. I am new to Substack, so please let me know if something is wrong with the link or the file.

submitted 12 days ago • 17 comments

Can facts ever change minds on immigration? I was skeptical—until working w. @landgravephd.bsky.social changed my own mind. Our new paper shows most Americans underestimate how difficult the US legal immigration process is. Sharing facts on policy makes people more positive: doi.org/10.1017/XPS....

submitted 56 days ago • 1 comment

A research project I am involved in is organizing a conference on the integration and naturalization of refugees and migrants and has just published the Call for Papers. The conference will take place on 13–14 November 2025 in Berlin. Looking forward to seeing you in Berlin! #migcitsky

submitted 24 days ago • 3 comments

Fascinating paper: partisan segregation is not due to sorting/migration. Counties trending Democratic tend to so because of generational change; Counties trending Republican tend to do so because of party switching. www.nber.org/papers/w33422

submitted 18 days ago • 3 comments

Such a banger. The rain DAG has made its way around socials a few times, but check out the extremely lucid and incisive discussion section.

submitted 18 days ago • 2 comments

EJPR is looking for an Open Science Editor to introduce Registered Reports at the journal. ecpr.eu/ContentPage....

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

A House committee is considering a budget resolution opening the door to large Medicaid cuts. How might voters respond? In 2023, @russellsagefdn.bsky.social published "Stable Condition," my book on health care attitudes. ACA attitudes grew markedly more supportive after the GOP's repeal attempts.

submitted 18 days ago • 3 comments

Reporting for @goodauth.bsky.social from Tokyo

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

50 years ago, Japan was among the first to see its fertility drop below replacement—few foresaw the impact. Today, as I saw firsthand, labor shortages, shrinking towns, and abandoned homes are reshaping its politics. Other countries will follow—there is no way around population decline

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

For years, Japan was seen as a homogenous country unwilling to accept immigration for cultural reasons. Not anymore—population decline has slowly but surely pushed the government to open the door to more and more foreign workers and legal immigration pathways:

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

Japan 🇯🇵 is evolving into a country of mass immigration. Check out this podcast below 👇🏻 You can access the audio, transcript, and seminal research 🔬 on this topic. www.torontomu.ca/cerc-migrati...

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

50 years ago, Japan was among the first to see its fertility drop below replacement—few foresaw the impact. Today, as I saw firsthand, labor shortages, shrinking towns, and abandoned homes are reshaping its politics. Other countries will follow—there is no way around population decline

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

Will Trump’s efforts to cut immigration be popular? Many assume high immigration triggers backlash and cutting it eases concerns. But there's no "magic number." Public concerns stem less from immigration levels and more from mismanagement—which may only get worse. goodauthority.org/news/can-tru...

submitted 41 days ago • 0 comments

Attn early career scholars of migration and citizenship: Nominate yourself! @migcitizenapsa.bsky.social is now accepting nominations for the Emerging Scholar Award, and I'm chairing the committee. Nominations due March 1st. Info on nomination procedures at apsanet.org/membership/o...

submitted 78 days ago • 0 comments

Regarding the ongoing moral circle debate: Simply asking people who they care about is cheap talk. In my book, I find that when their own interests are at stake, most prioritize themselves and family over the country, and the country over foreigners. Notably, the nation ranks above the local.

submitted 28 days ago • 1 comment

Regarding the ongoing moral circle debate: Simply asking people who they care about is cheap talk. In my book, I find that when their own interests are at stake, most prioritize themselves and family over the country, and the country over foreigners. Notably, the nation ranks above the local.

submitted 28 days ago • 1 comment

Yep. If not outright counterproductive, the well-meaning push for more inclusive language around immigration issues certainly hasn’t helped much: politicsrights.com/better-polic...

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

I'm often asked why immigration matters in a place like Wyoming, where concerns are dismissed as misinformation. But caring about immigration there is as rational—or irrational—as caring about climate change in Canada. Folks care about things bigger than themselves goodauthority.org/news/can-tru...

submitted 39 days ago • 0 comments

Every policy has trade-offs, but birthright citizenship is the best integration tool we can possibly have. Without it, we risk growing weaker and more divided. Look at EU nations with elaborate integration programs but no birthright—how are their stateless or non-citizen populations faring?

submitted 41 days ago • 1 comment

I'm often asked why immigration matters in a place like Wyoming, where concerns are dismissed as misinformation. But caring about immigration there is as rational—or irrational—as caring about climate change in Canada. Folks care about things bigger than themselves goodauthority.org/news/can-tru...

submitted 39 days ago • 0 comments

Really cool research: sharing facts on immigration policy makes people more positive (in the US) Can we learn something for Germany from this?

submitted 39 days ago • 1 comment

Trump capitalized on our dysfunctional immigration system by raising the issue's (already polarizing) salience and making it more thermostatic. This likely wouldn’t have happened to such an extent if we’d had more functional legal pathways to begin with! prismreports.org/2025/01/21/i...

submitted 40 days ago • 2 comments

A lot is happening, but let’s not lose sight of the big picture—voter frustration with immigration got us here. This week, I wrote three pieces on making immigration popular: better policies over slogans, shifting priorities over positions, and improving pathways over cutting numbers. Check it out!

submitted 41 days ago • 1 comment

Can Trump manage immigration effectively – and not just reduce it? Research suggests that’s what voters really care about, not immigrant numbers. Read the latest: goodauthority.org/news/can-tru...

submitted 40 days ago • 0 comments

Every policy has trade-offs, but birthright citizenship is the best integration tool we can possibly have. Without it, we risk growing weaker and more divided. Look at EU nations with elaborate integration programs but no birthright—how are their stateless or non-citizen populations faring?

submitted 41 days ago • 1 comment