alexvespi.bsky.social
Networks & data, computational epidemiology, complex systems
46 posts
1,659 followers
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Prolific Poster
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More on the Symposium at ➡️https://bit.ly/3Rg0MsE
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Ensemble forecasts outperform most individual models.
Strong performance at short-term horizons.
These results reinforce the importance of multi-model epidemic forecasting.
🔗 Data: github.com/Predizioni-E...
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The framework provides actionable insights for designing cost-effective surveillance networks worldwide. Optimizing testing strategies, logistics, and policy integration is key for what's next.
full study:
📄 Nature Medicine 🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s415...
News & views : www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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- Using advanced simulations and analytics we designed an optimized network of sentinel airports. Just 10-20 sites can provide early detection of pathogens.
📊 Beyond a threshold, more sites marginally improve—optimization matters!
🌎 Well-placed sentinel sites provide timely situational awareness.