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andrewkosenko.bsky.social
Will eventually grow up. Perpetually confused. Behavioral and information economics, experiments, and learning/memory. Lately, also 🇺🇦 topics Kharkivite/New Yorker andrewkosenko.com
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If true this would be horrific. US cannot give away another country's territory. 🇺🇦 will not recognize it, most importantly. This is a pure gift to Russia, at the top of their wishlist. US gains nothing, and 🇺🇦 loses. Finally, this will *not* end the war. www.cnn.com/2025/04/19/e...

In the meantime, Russian bombardment of Ukraine continues. The Kremlin got what it wanted - more time.

So much for "I’ll [stop the war] in 24 hours." and "I will get it settled before I even become president" from candidate Trump. Notably this was after a meeting with 🇺🇸,🇺🇦, and 🇫🇷 officials, and a phone call from Rubio to Lavrov, the 🇷🇺 foreign minister. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/18/w...

If the Russian soliders did find it "difficult" to kill Ukrainians, they might... you know... stop doing it

Unfortunately, this is true - the political prisoners released by Putin repeat - verbatim - the same genocidal propaganda, while musing about how difficult it is for Russian soldiers to kill Ukrainians. After 3+ years of a full-scale invasion... Unconscionable efdavies.substack.com/p/vladimir-t...

Just so it’s clear, the government wanted to oversee hiring and employment at a *private* institution in order to implement a purity test. When the institution refused, they took away money for life saving research (cancer etc). That’s some fascist shit.

A horrific Russian strike on Sumy. 34 dead (so far), over 100 wounded, including a girl born in 2025. Two missiles, one struck a university building at the center of town, another exploded above ground, covering the area with shrapnel. Video from Zelensky CONTENT WARNING: Disturbing Images

Folks who are interested in European security & threat from Russia, this is for you. Clear-eyed, reality-based to-do list, that recognizes Russia's weaknesses. All that is necessary is the will to defend Europe. @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/e...

Battle of Britain, 1940? No. Kharkiv, just a few days ago. Defense against Russian drone swarm attacks. So much for "peace negotiations" Ukrainians call this "Star Wars" Even though the invasion faded from the headlines in the West, the ferocity of the fighting did not subside.

I was just about to tweet that he was playing a game of chicken, and both sides were going "straight"... but he swerved.

Really, the basic economic ideas of 1) opportunity cost, 2) backward induction and subgame perfection, and 3) repeated games, take you remarkably far in figuring out what to do

The recent tit-for-tat (roughly) tariffs suggest that perhaps, maybe, international affairs and trade are not a one-shot game. A deviation profitable in the short run is unprofitable with repeated interactions. Now if only we had a theory like that, and people who study it...

Recession start in April? A probit model, pseudo-R2 = 0.38 #econsky econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Russia says they have been misunderstood, thats why they continue killing children in Ukraine Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev after Washington visit: There was no dialogue with Russia under Biden. No attempt to understand our position. 1/

Russia is a terror state.

In the meantime - this is my neighborhood in Kharkiv. Russian drone strike. Nightly terrorism. I grew up in a 5-story building just like this. It's surreal to see your hood in the Telegram channels and wonder if it's your house...🤬

The lesser-known Three Horsemen of the Apocalypse

Atlanta Fed's GDPNowcast A pretty healthy recession in Q12025

This, combined with the unemployment data coming out tomorrow, will be "interesting"

Institutional IRB feeding impostor syndrome

Until today, this was a hospital in the very center of Kharkiv. Was. Russian/Iranian drone strike

Dad texting from Kharkiv: "Several explosions nearby" Russia is a terror state

Update on Russian invasion if Ukraine: Bad. Each day of talks (🇺🇸-🇷🇺 and 🇺🇸-🇺🇦) is followed by a night of massive drone strikes by Russia. Kropyvitsky, Odesa, Dnipro, Kharkiv. Civilian targets, including energy. 1/4

The new minerals (and more) deal that Trump admin is trying to force on Ukraine is deliberately humiliating. Downright indentured servitude.

And people say there's overuse of AI

today in helpful messages: "010-editor is built for Intel macOS and so requires Rosetta 2 to be installed. [...] Note that it is very difficult to remove Rosetta 2 once it is installed." 🙃🫠

Not too long ago, this image would have been thought impossible. 2023: "...such a move could escalate tensions with 🇷🇺 [...] learning to fly and logistically support the advanced F-16 would be difficult and time consuming." "a red line" Don't be afraid of fighting Putin and winning.

An upd report on our workshops for Ukraine series on #RStats, #Python & more. So far, we have raised >93k euro & the workshops have been attended by > 4100 ppl! 👇you can find more info on how you can help & a detailed report. All info on workshops: bit.ly/3wBeY4S 1/n

This deal takes what is already a status quo - 🇺🇦 victory in Black Sea, repackages it as a "deal" (it't not), and starts the process of sanctions relief for 🇷🇺 Even then, the Kremlin will only honor *after* sanctions relief Beyond shameful. US outplayed, gains 0 www.nytimes.com/2025/03/25/w...

US is lifting sanctions from Russia. Key line: "The US will help restore Russia’s access to the world market for agricultural and fertilizer exports, lower maritime insurance costs, and enhance access to ports and payment systems for such transactions." www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-st...

This is insane. Reaity is not a choice. And in framing it so, NYT is complicit in prioritizing Trump admin and Putin's aims over reality, by using shockingly misleading, passive voice frames. Besides, surely this time will be different... www.nytimes.com/2025/03/24/u...

Brb, checking to see if I have any unopened Signal chat invites

Mike Waltz said today that cease fire has been in effect since Trump called Putin. Reality check: Russia has been attacking #Ukraine every day. Today at least 3 people in Kyiv were killed by Russian drones Of course, don't believe your lying eyes. Believe what Putin tells you. #UkrainianView