anjaneundorf.bsky.social
Professor of Politics | DEMED project @ERC_Research | Main interest: Democracy and Autocracy, Public Opinion, Civic Education, Higher Ed. #FirstGen
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We are excited to welcome Kiran Garimella (Rutgers University) on 4 Mar, 15h (GMT). He will introduce the "WhatsApp Explorer", a data donation tool he developed to collect data from WhatsApp and to facilitate research on the platform". Register here: uofglasgow.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Super Idee. Ich übernehme die ersten 10 generellen Fragen und 24 Fragen über @omasgegenrechts.bsky.social. Meine Mama ist dort aktiv und hat alle Aktionen die ihr Ortsverband gestartet hat selbst finanziert. Da gibt es gar keine Mittel bis jetzt.
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Here a link to the @spiegel.de article: www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
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But she downplayed her upbringing to appeal to West German voters.
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Good point. We definitely also need to understand the drivers in the west. But these will be different than in the East.
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💡 The bottom line? A mix of history, education gaps, weak political ties, economic struggles, and social media influence has made Eastern Germany fertile ground for the AfD’s rise.
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5️⃣ Social Media Bubbles & Radicalization 📲🔥
The AfD has successfully undermined trust in traditional media and moved its supporters into closed social media spaces that spread misinformation and propaganda. This has mobilized and radicalized voters, making them harder for mainstream parties to reach.
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4️⃣ The “Second-Class Citizens” Feeling 🤝
East Germans went through a double transition: political and economic. Wages and pensions in the East are still lower than in the West, and East Germans remain underrepresented in politics. This fuels resentment and distrust.
www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/a...
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3️⃣ Weak Party Attachments 🗳️
Unlike West Germans, who have decades of partisan tradition, East Germans only began voting for (West) German parties 34 years ago. Without deep-rooted party loyalties, new parties—like the AfD—can attract voters more easily.
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2️⃣ Weak Civic Education Post-Reunification 📚
After reunification, there was a critical need for strong civic education. Unfortunately, East German states invested less in teaching democracy than the West—leaving younger generations with a weaker commitment to democracy.
www.lifbi.de/de-de/Start/...
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1️⃣ GDR Legacies 🏛️
Many East German voters grew up under a socialist system that didn’t foster a deep-seated commitment to democracy like in long-standing democracies. This historical difference still shapes voting behavior today.
osf.io/preprints/os...
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V = pB - C + D ;-)
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Ich hoffe, dass du es noch schaffst, deine Stimme abzugeben.
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Ja, habe meine Unterlagen (aus Thüringen) am 10. Feb bekommen und am 11. Feb wieder abgeschickt.
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6️⃣ Takeaways for Pro-Democracy Efforts
✅ Use broad, universal pro-democracy messaging.
✅ Avoid hyper-localized content that may trigger defensive reactions.
✅ Leverage social media ads for mass outreach.
🔗 Read the full paper here: osf.io/b4hju_v1
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5️⃣ Why Does This Matter?
💡 Universal democracy messages may work better than locally tailored ones in high-conflict areas.
💡 Online ads are a cost-effective way to reach large audiences without security risks.
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4️⃣ Key Finding #2
Surprisingly, the Burkina Faso-specific video had little impact. Why?
📌 People exposed to chronic terrorism may develop coping mechanisms like denial or avoidance.
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3️⃣ Key Finding #1
Videos emphasizing democracy’s general benefits in combating terrorism were most effective!
🚀 They increased positive perceptions of democracy’s ability to manage security threats by 4.9 percentage points.
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2️⃣ The Experiment
We tested three types of short videos promoting democracy:
🎥 1. General civic rights
🎥 2. Democracy’s role in fighting terrorism
🎥 3. A Burkina Faso-specific version
A placebo group watched a space exploration video.
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1️⃣ Background
Democracy is under threat, especially in terrorism-affected regions. But can online educational videos change attitudes and behaviors? We conducted an experiment in Burkina Faso to find out.
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Join us for our next webinar on 18 February (15h, GMT) on "Recruiting Research Participants across the World: a 30-country study" that @aykutozturk.bsky.social and I will deliver ourselves. Registration: uofglasgow.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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I have never seen a poll suggesting the most important issue in an election to be “protect democracy and fight the radical right” (62%), which is reassuring that people understand how critical this election is for the political system (even more than the economy). But still unbelievable.
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Hi Doug. Happy to explore a discussion.
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Good suggestion. No, we have not done that yet.
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According to our research those strategies do not impact regime survival once we take into account repression of civil liberties and media propaganda, which are most important to ensure the resilience of autocracies.
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For example, dictators making concessions to the opposition by sharing some power through having parliaments. Or providing public goods and welfare to its citizens to “buy them off”.
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The surprise stems from the finding that co-operation does not seem to matter at all once we take into account the whole spectrum of strategies. We demonstrate that using Bayesian staking models.
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6/ This might be of interest to @chknutsen.bsky.social, @dstreisman.bsky.social, @christiandavenport.bsky.social, @silindberg.bsky.social,
@psaautocracy.bsky.social, @apsgworkshop.bsky.social, @vdeminstitute.bsky.social.