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apprenticeciti.bsky.social
Geopolitics Sustainability 🇨🇭🇮🇹🇺🇦🇪🇺 https://www.apprenticecitizen.com
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Trump “pausing” tariffs: Most commentators claim he capitulated. More likely: this was planned. Similar to the shock withdrawal of weapons and intel to Ukraine. For few days. Trump still blind to the devastation to US economy long-term. Stocks down + Treasuries yield up clear sign of this damage

We have been reading of many such successes over the last weeks. Great. But what’s their impact in aggregate? How much of Russia’s government revenue are they cutting? How long does it take Russia to repair them? What other noteworthy implications?

EU and US have been incredibly shy with the situation in Georgia. Hardly good considering the delicate position that Russia is taking.

True, and concerning. Social media has polarized western society, one little post at a time over years. LLM assistants are bound to have the same degree of influence, and lacks the possibility to identify and lack malicious actors that social media partly offered.

Do you care about the increasing Cold War exercised by Russia against European countries? Then @auonsson.bsky.social will be an important asset in your follows. S/He occasionally engages too, with facts and respect đź‘Ź

Another very informative review by @pboyle.bsky.social this time on deportations - the effects of immigration on the US economy - what can be expected on GDP and tax revenue if more/less immigrants are deported I learned a lot from Patrick’s podcasts over the years m.youtube.com/watch?v=Sfbf...

Within large companies there’s often an individual who creates chaos — usually due to incompetence + ego issues. In that context, the best strategy is to keep them busy in their own soup, while ensuring that their endeavors are unworkable. They eventually wear out and move on to another endeavor.

This has been done in the EU’s largest metropolitan area. If they can do it, your city can do it. It’s only a matter of wanting it. A decade after the fact everyone will be happy. Just like it’s been for bans to indoor smoking.

The only good way to look at this: - Trump is building a dictatorship sinking separation of powers - All his appointees are yes-men with no will of their own - ergo if Trump changes his mind on a subject, all his parrots will quickly align - Changing his mind is Trump’s constant. Hope dies last

Excellent read 👍🏻 - Russian economy is frail - Kremlin used sleight of hands to conceal the weakness since 2022. - Sanctions are working well. West must just keep on with them. - Putin is being forced to choose between Ukraine war and his power. Every dictator’s ultimate priority.

The Scandinavian and Baltic countries are showing us how to deal with Russian provocation. Hopefully other European states will heed the examples.

Elon Musk has started to lose his superstar status. His influence and power will increasingly reduce to his money only. But his wealth is extremely illiquid, so there will be big bounds to that power too. My estimate: in 18 months he’ll be off the news.

Most Americans - especially MAGA - will find this interesting. Also worth to watch for Europeans.

New York City just introduced a 9$ charge to drive into some roads during highly congested hours. Results likely overshot expectations, so I wonder if NYC will lower the fee after the certain backlash. Singapore introduced this successfully in 1975. Why did NYC wait half a century to adopt it?