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apprenticeciti.bsky.social
Geopolitics Sustainability šŸ‡ØšŸ‡­šŸ‡®šŸ‡¹šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡¦šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ŗ https://www.apprenticecitizen.com
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Frankly I doubt that institutions will decay and truth finding will occur at the individual level. It’s unrealistic and eliminates the key role of reputation. Every endeavor of significance involves many people. Bellingcat is trusted because many individuals stood for a certain methodology.
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Eliot, this (and the previous) threads are gems. Looking forward for your book. Please make it readable, your threads tend to be somewhat dense. Wouldn’t hope to chew so hard 200 pages long šŸ™‚
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Why would Trump lose? He has ultimate control of the storyline and playing field. Between deeds and drugs, Musk has already has largely destroyed much of his reputation. He only has money left, bound to TSLA shares that Trump can sink. In Russia, Putin won over oligarchs. Keen to read y rationale
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I was surprised by the Estonian navy backing off. What could have the fighter jet possibly done? Was the risk higher than the damage of showing the kremlin it has the upper hand? Should NATO have scrambled jets in response?
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8 meters long! A couple of years ago @anderspucknielsen.dk explained that defense against USVs is so hard because they’re nearly impossible to detect — small, low and fast. As size grew to 8m plus missiles on top — I wonder if that’s still the case.
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There are two counter arguments for ambiguous messaging: 1) Trump is a one-term president with a policy both extraordinary and volatile 2) Even if the EU was persuaded the US is unreliable, would it be wise to announce it until it rebuilt its capability to defend itself without it?
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$310 M sounds expensive for training, documentation and software updates. Is this genuine or Trump milking the EU in return of symbolic news pieces?
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The US already short on trucks? I didn’t expect the new tariffs on cars to effect so quickly
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Wait. Trump is helping by neutralizing misinformation? šŸ¤” If the Gerasimov doctrine uses misinformation to get countries to stop weapon deliveries, the Trump already fulfilled its ultimate objective: no more US deliveries. EU block never was public opinion.
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It’s becoming increasingly clear that tariffs are a ploy to appear tough, force some new negotiations from which Trump will then claim some wins. The economic damage of the chaos is significant, but don’t fixate on this tariffs diversion.
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@anderspucknielsen.dk not sure it’s fair to profile Mearsheimer like an amateur on those topics He’s given countless seminars on it for decades and makes some good points. He also misses major points, flawing his conclusions—but ridiculing him undermines your own credibility Keep up the great work
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@mercoglianos.bsky.social would love to read your take on this
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What convinces you that it’s caused by aligning with Russia? Why not their ā€œzero covidā€ policy? - The drop starts around 2021 - it resumes in 2023 - it may be staying hampered due to the various headwinds facing the Chinese economy
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Exactly. Greetings from Europe. And it’s not the Trump administration either. The consistent silence of Congress and the lack of popular uprising show there’s really been an enduring transformation in the fabric of the country.
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Gives shape to how the Suez Crisis moment of the US could look like this: China sticks to reciprocation, the EU reciprocates too. US exports collapse, US prices shoot up and the Trump administration is forced to reverse course.
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This is the biggest risk of Trump’s presidency: to cause a 30 year long cultural shift in the US population. Realistic, looking at what Berlusconi did with Italy. And now hinted by these first polls.
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Staying at great personal sacrifice only delays the inevitable and sanctions the acceptability of those cuts. For respect of themselves and society, they’d better just quit and let the whole thing collapse.
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Is this not a relatively easy problem to fix for Russia, through immigration? It’s still an attractive destination for most countries in Central Asia. Developed countries usually rely widely on immigrants for agricultural jobs. Even countries wary of immigration
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Thank you for a great summary. The sheer production capacity behind this barrage is striking. It’s hundreds of long-range drones in the span of a couple of weeks. What are the observations of any expert on this? Stockpiling or massively increased own capacity?
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We now have @anderspucknielsen.dk ā€˜s take on this too: ā€œThe likelihood of [..] by accident is therefore close to zero. The likelihood of this happening three times in 14 months in the same area is even smaller. [..] therefore, straightforward: Yes, this was definitely sabotage.ā€
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This is false. There is longstanding scientific consensus since that climate change is influenced by many factors, with human activity as one of its dominant drivers. climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/...
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Fair, but in that case it’s worth to add your commentary on the low plausibility. If not, a bare post from an expert of your caliber will imply credibility. Since it came as an update, that will suggest to most readers that the ā€œcurrent state of knowledgeā€ is it was an accident.
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Is posting ā€œboth sidesā€ a good deed if one is highly likely trash? Remember ā€œmerchants of doubtā€. I call out this specific post because you are such a positive contributor not only on content, but also on vibes and respect towards others. Keep up the great work.
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I gave him the benefit of the doubt too watching the first clip. But after seeing his second repetition — where he turns and repeats the gesture facing the US flag on the wall — it’s hard to believe it’s anything other than a salute. This might be where Trump and AfD begin to distance themselves.
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Please do not tarnish you name by propagating highly questioned content. There is abundant material out there sinking the credibility of the Washington Post article that your marine executive article is based on. Wait at least for such ā€œgame changingā€ scoops to gain some scrutiny.
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What is the effect of all this on Greenland’s own sentiments on initiative? Are those cooking for fears of being left dealing with trump on their own? @anderspucknielsen.dk
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No need to depress, as that part is BS šŸ™‚ Google Ads sells click for a given price. This price is set by merchants so that one click does not exceed their earnings they make from it. If ā€œthe audience is not realā€ then those ads result in no sales, quickly making the clicks worthless.