banks.ac
π» Computer Scientist, π Computational/Mathematical Modeller, π¦ Infectious Disease Modeller,π¬Research Fellow / Core Scientist, π Roslin Institute, π° University of Edinburgh, π Mountaineer, π² Cyclist, π€ Geek.
π https://banks.ac/
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Congratulations Prof. Eggo! π₯
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Right tools for the right job, of course. Java for a heavy and complex model, Python for data analysis, and Julia for some data heavy lifting. There's also some Scala in there to for distributing the fitting process to cloud machines!
I love the card game idea, though. Right tool for education :)
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Derivation from first principles of the standard SIR model (when averaged)
stochanswers.com/education/ep...
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@uoe-eid.bsky.social
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Our insights guided Public Health Scotland and The Scottish Government during the pandemic.
Thanks to co-authors @rowlandkao.bsky.social , @ewancolman.bsky.social, Anthony Wood, and in memory of Thomas Doherty. RIP Tom, and thank you. π
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Key Findings:
* Projections held strong under retrospective analysis.
* NPIs at the time were too late to significantly alter Omicronβs course.
* Immediate changes in vaccination strategy had minimal impact; the existing immunity landscape was crucial.
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π§ͺ We enhanced our national-scale, datazone granularity agent-based model from the Delta variant phase to project Omicron's path. This model used case histories, incidence estimates, vaccine rollout, and NPI/behaviour adjustments.
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The COVID-19 pandemic is estimated to have killed more than 25 million people.
It caused grief and suffering among their loved ones, impacted people's health worldwide, & disrupted work & lifestyles.
We look back with 17 key charts: https://ourworldindata.org/key-charts-understand-covid-pandemic
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Please add me if you think I fit π
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I realise as I say this, there's a lovely blue sky over Edinburgh right now. Cold winter days with blue skies are the best days in Scotland.