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bbkogan.bsky.social
Senior Director of Federal Budget Policy for the Center for American Progress doing budget, tax, and econ. Formerly: Biden OMB, Biden Transition Team, Senate Budget Committee (Murray and Sanders). CBO and OMB’s biggest fan! Personal account.
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In his testimony before Congress just now, Russ Vought mentioned pocket rescissions. This is almost certainly going to be a huge issue in mid-August and will end up before the Supreme Court.

you could wrap around the entire earth with every person who was going to lose health insurance under the republican plan

The GOP bill would cut $1 trillion from health care. This would kick 10.9 million people off their health insurance. That, plus the expiration of the APTCs (and the other half of the ACA rule), lead to 16 million people losing health insurance, pushing the uninsurance rate up 4 percentage points.

Cost estimate of the House-passed "Big Beautiful Bill" is out It'd be the largest cut to Medicaid+CHIP and SNAP in history while still increasing deficits by $2.4 trillion due to $3.8 trillion in tax cuts This'd be the largest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich in a single law in history

Tomorrow we will get from CBO: -the full final cost of the House-passed reconciliation bill (10am) -the budget & economic impact of tariffs (11am) -the total number of people kicked off their health insurance under the GOP bill (tbd) I have a press call 10:15-11 but will go through before & after

They're literally doing the meme

Trump has asked Congressional Republicans to entirely eliminate this pot of funding that among its activities combats human trafficking. This sets up a special process that's filibuster-proof in the Senate, meaning it can be enacted even with all Dems in opposition.

The rescissions request is out. This is very real. As with reconciliation, this is filibuster-proof, meaning that there is no Senate cloture vote, and Republicans can pass it even with all Dems opposed. The White House is calling to cut global health programs, condemning people to die.

"They're making the poorest people in America tighten their belts to help pay for giant tax cuts to the rich." 🎙️ ESB's @bbkogan.bsky.social joined @maggiedaunshow.bsky.social to break down how the GOP’s tax bill would harm millions in Wisconsin and across the U.S. civicmedia.us/shows/maggie...

maybe there wouldn’t be so many gao inquiries if omb weren’t breaking so many spending laws 🤔🧐

GAO is tasked with and has been investigating whether OMB broke spending law (it did). Trump’s OMB claims it hasn’t done anything illegal (it has) and now says it is going to limit its cooperation with GAO because it claims the requests are “voluminous, burdensome, and inappropriately invasive.”

My “No People Will Not Literally Die From This Bill” T-Shirt has people asking questions …

Rs say this bcuz the truth - "i don't think saving those people is worth the cost" - doesn't sound good. But if you spend $800 bn less on providing insurance, some people will lose insurance. Of them, some will get sick. Of them, some will be too poor get sufficient care. Of them, some will die.

Huge deal Tomorrow, we expect the White House to submit a rescissions request, giving Congress a filibuster-proof way to cut certain spending & allowing Trump to legally pause that $$ for 45 days But the Trump admin apparently wants to later submit another request to ILLEGALLY force automatic cuts

Wow, Russ Vought (Trump's budget director) is planning to do "pocket rescissions." This is an illegal practice that'd institute at minimum a 12% cut to any program on the list (larger to anything behind on obligations). GAO, tasked w/ determining ICA violations, has said this practice is illegal.

There are six provisions of the Byrd rule. Senate Rs are planning to violate 313(b)(1)(B) & 313(b)(1)(E). Respectively, they prohibit committees from violating their instructions & prohibit the creation of long-term deficits. Senate Rs are planning to violate each with the tax parts of their bill.

For their limited filibuster carveout, the goal was to allow for additional pollution. For their Byrd rule violations, it's to make unpaid-for tax cuts permanent and to allow for them to be more expensive then they'd budgeted for.

Last month, Senate Rs created a limited filibuster carveout to pass with a simple majority what Senate rules require a supermajority for. This month, they're planning to violate two separate provisions of the Byrd rule to pass with a simple majority what Senate rules require a supermajority for.

Russ lies each time he talks about impoundment All of Nixon’s impoundment cases were decided on PRE-ICA law, & he lost every case that was decided on the merits The ICA then GRANTED impoundment authority that didn’t exist before You can’t legally impound w/out explicit allowance & you never could

trump is calling to take away nutrition assistance from newborns and pregnant moms 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡

wow, the trump budget request to congress (this is NOT the medicaid/snap/tax cuts bill) calls to cut the maximum pell grant award by $1,685

look how they massacred my boy

spotted on the bad site

I updated this old graph of mine. It shows that, if not for the Bush and Trump tax cuts, debt/GDP would be stable rather than rising forever. I've updated the methodology to first assume an AMT patch at Clinton levels, so I'm only attributing to the Bush tax cuts their portion of the AMT patch.

Truly imagine being this callous about human life. If you spend hundreds of billions less providing health insurance, fewer people will be covered. Of those people, some will get sick. Of those people, some won’t be able to afford care. Of those people, some will die because of lack of care.

The CBO director is a Republican who worked in the Bush administration and at the conservative think tank AEI. Phill just isn’t a hack and would never do a data crime. These people tell easily verifiable lies nonstop because they don’t give a shit about the truth.