beverlyochieng.bsky.social
Books | Sahel coup watcher | Wagner Group stalker | Senior Analyst, Francophone Africa, Control Risks | Senior Associate, CSIS Africa | occasional typos, usual disclaimers
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Prolific Poster
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Benin's attack underscores the spillover of militant activity from Burkina Faso and Niger, and strained relations are unlikely to enable joint security operations. JNIM will continue being intent on its Gulf of Guinea expansion, even as the Beninise army's competence remains high.
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"Pan-African aunty" ndiyo mwendo wangu mwaka huu 😅
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Thank yoooou, Paul 😊
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Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger have sought to build the legitimacy of the AES since it was first conceived in Sept 2023 to defend against coups in the Sahel. I talk to @bloomberg.com TV about how tensions with Ecowas have played out and what is likely during the grace period:
youtu.be/eQDt4lY7iM8?...
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Thanks - that’s kind of you !
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Earlier I spoke to the BBC's Newsday programme (reunion!) on why the AES was even formed in the first place and years of turbulence between Sahel military rulers and Ecowas:
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
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The wildest scenario and ultimate way to undermine ECOWAS would be absorbing it into AES. Therefore, supporting it to remain together under a new banner and influence.