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brunfpl.bsky.social
Analytically (ill) informed sports fan. FPL player. Inaugural winner of Elite Analytic 64 League. EV chaser, jam hoarder, variance hugger.
416 posts 1,291 followers 389 following
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Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves

FPL Double and Blank Gameweeks Viz dump + logic explained 🧵

Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting

GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.

GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play

Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so

GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace

Anyone else own Flekken, Fabianski, Raul, Bruno & Dibling and have only 1FT? Interested to see where others are going but appreciate I might be the only one suboptimal enough to be in this predicament