bthalpin.bsky.social
Refugee from ex-Twitter, mostly at @[email protected]
756 posts
353 followers
501 following
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YouTube have removed Paul Golding and Britain First. This is likely to be for the enthusiastic sharing and championing of violence in Northern Ireland as something to spread and emulate
X is not challenging incitement or the celebration of violence
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After more investigation I'm beginning to think the data generating processes are indistinguishable. Intuition says that with the urn model, the sum to the previous element should be a better predictor of ti than under model 2, but the coefs from logit of ti on the sum to i-1 are indistinguishable.
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The urn model should therefore show more variability earlier and less later.
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My initial intuition was that it would be more like a binomial distribution, but I made a crude simulation later that had a similar distribution.
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And very notable that the US may turn a real corner with a reemergence of infectious disease morbidly and mortality if RFK gets his way and bans vaccines! So MAHA may succeed because children will die before they get a chance to get chronic diseases! www.nytimes.com/2025/06/09/h...
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Why is Irish media so insistent on employing nepo-babies?
Now there's a conversation worth having.
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It is understandable that the Irish Times would be concerned about the failure of anglophone broadsheet narratives from the imperial cores to be properly syndicated here, of course.
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Summing the sequences yields an almost perfectly even distribution, so I suspect (1).
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If to respond to your email I have to click on a link and open a browser, I'll respond to your email next week (if at all). (I'm looking at you, Academic Registry.)
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Whenever I encounter opposition to or finger-wagging about justice protests happening now, I find that showing people this poll truly does give them food for thought 👇
news.gallup.com/vault/246167...
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Yebbut, Limerick's motto means "never trust the English"
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A staggering level of amateurism defines this administration. It's not just policy missteps; it's a fundamental lack of understanding of how government, or even basic economics, works. We're witnessing governance by guesswork, & the nation is paying the price. The long-term damage will be profound.
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my darkest sentiment is that it's not that Karen Bass is a liar but that really she doesn't control the police