chknutsen.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Secretary of Defense Hegseth says he doesn’t know if Russia invaded Ukraine. This you?

submitted 1 day ago • 932 comments

Super interesting project! In light of recent discussions would be fascinating to see how this indicator compares to the V-Dem indicator of a similar concept, as well as intercoder reliability stats on the coding of the new indicator.

submitted 18 hours ago • 1 comment

So - I've actually led Ebola outbreak response at USAID. This is bunk from Elon. They have laid off most of the experts, they're bankrupting most of the partner orgs, have withdrawn from WHO, and muzzled CDC. What's left is a fig-leaf effort to cover their asses politically.

submitted 1 day ago • 470 comments

Hva tenker demokratiforskere om det som skjer i USA? Vil det amerikanske demokratiet overleve? @chknutsen.bsky.social ved UiO og PRIO deler tanker i VG ⤵️ www.vg.no/nyheter/i/gw...

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Are there some sort of „protective bundles“—specific configurations of political institutions that can resist democratic backsliding? This is a polisky must-read by @chknutsen.bsky.social and Jan Teorell on how institutions shape the development & decline of democracy⬇️

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Endelig fikk jeg skrevet ned kronikken som har tatt opp mye plass i hodet mitt de siste par ukene: www.vg.no/nyheter/i/gw...

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Happy to announce that my first article is finally in print in Political Science and Research Methods (PSRM).

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

I see they started with the copyeditors.

submitted 7 days ago • 41 comments

Things are unfolding fast in real time & one explanation for what is happening is that of the “state capture” where civil servants either accept political corruption or leave ensuring future compliance to Trump. The evidence for this is that cuts will not genuinely shrink state spending. BUT

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

"even lawmakers within his party have feared for their personal safety, and at least one has told confidants that it has swayed his decision-making" "Tillis told people that the FBI warned him about 'credible death threats' when he was considering voting against Pete Hegseth’s nomination"

submitted 8 days ago • 224 comments

This new review essay by @stasavage.bsky.social looks fascinating! www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta...

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

Lets put this in "business" terms. If you have an arm of your firms that costs $50k to operate, but it produces $500k in profits, and you cut it, you don't save $50k, you lose $450k. By cutting billions, they have the potential to reduce future growth by the trillions.

submitted 8 days ago • 10 comments

Kort kommentar i @vgnett.bsky.social i dag om Trumps seneste utsagn som er historieløst og fullstendig frakoblet virkeligheten. Ukraina blir angrepet, så forsøkt påtvunget kapitulasjonskrav til Russland og milliardutbetalinget til USA. Dette må motarbeides. www.vg.no/nyheter/i/25...

submitted 8 days ago • 3 comments

Dette er et ganske fast mønster. Omtrent 2/3 av republikanerne tror på alt Trump sier, inkludert urløgnene, at han vant i 2020. Skrevet om det i Aftenposten i oktober. www.aftenposten.no/meninger/deb...

submitted 8 days ago • 5 comments

I fully agree that the US is on the cusp of authoritarianism. However, I think the path so far differs in two ways from the "normal" way to competitive authoritarianism. First, I think there is a strong undercurrent of totalitarianism. 1/4

submitted 10 days ago • 1 comment

Is Musk demanding the data held by the Social Security Administration in order to make it more efficient? Unlikely. Here's a better explanation: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

submitted 9 days ago • 135 comments

We're hiring a Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiesecurity.bsky.social! More details here: apply.interfolio.com/163523

submitted 10 days ago • 9 comments

Democracy researchers please take note, and tell relevant colleagues: The Dep. of Pol. Sci. in Gothenburg is hiring a new Director for the V-Dem Institute. The Director will also serve as permanent (tenured) member of the Dep., with reduced teaching responsibilities during their tenure as Director.

submitted 10 days ago • 1 comment

Now in @bjpols.bsky.social: Are leaders really better at reading public opinion? In a large-scale study led by Stefaan Walgrave and Julie Sevenans, we test the assumption that politicians in leadership positions have more accurate knowledge of public opinion than others. /1 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

📢Applications Open for New Director of the V-Dem Institute V-Dem Institute and the Dept. of Political Science, University of Gothenburg is looking for a Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor in Political Science & Director of the V-Dem Institute. To application: shorturl.at/9rvmx 📆 March 27, 2025.

submitted 16 days ago • 2 comments

I'm not involved in hiring for this, but I am on V-Dem's steering committee, and have been for close to a decade now, so am happy to talk with potential candidates about how the Institute (and its director) interacts with the larger project/community.

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

This is an amazing opportunity to work with excellent collaborators on absolutely crucial work!

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

Ukraine's independence and territorial integrity are unconditional. Our priority must now be strengthening Ukraine and providing robust security guarantees. In any negotiation, Europe must have a central role. Our Weimar+ statement ↓

submitted 15 days ago • 172 comments

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

submitted 15 days ago • 6 comments

i suppose all we on the outside can do now is hope that the americans' sincere collective passion for litigation is stronger than their death drive

submitted 15 days ago • 10 comments

"Look what happens when you write a report critical of this administration: They fire you the next day. This chills independent oversight, and that’s exactly what we need right now." www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

submitted 15 days ago • 2 comments

No problem, just banning a media source from coverage access for not complying with the speech dictates of the government

submitted 15 days ago • 3 comments

European capitals need to get their act together. The United States is pressuring Ukraine into a settlement that preserves much of Russia’s power and rewards its imperial ambitions—all while pulling back from the European continent. 1/2

submitted 15 days ago • 8 comments

I look at democracy data for a living, and the US indeed seems to be in a constitutional crisis right now - but this move by Polity makes me take it less seriously, not more. Here’s why:

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

Opposition mobilizing in the streets can spur regime change via different channels such as revolutions or coups. But also indirectly through pushing OR enabling sitting regime elites to change the regime «from within» in (very!) different manners. @vldjuve.bsky.social and my new JCR article👇

submitted 16 days ago • 2 comments

Can citizen action translate into incumbents changing their regimes from within? @chknutsen.bsky.social and I find that the answer is yes in our latest piece, “Citizen Action and Elite Responses: Opposition Mass Movements and Regime Change From Within”, now out in JCR: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

submitted 17 days ago • 6 comments

Trump’s firing of key officials and the gutting of agencies is more than headlines—it’s reshaping American government capacity with long-term effects on political stability and policy. My @thejop.bsky.social article explores how “institutional disruption” impacts government performance over time 🧵

submitted 17 days ago • 1 comment

submitted 19 days ago • 2 comments

One week left!

submitted 19 days ago • 0 comments

I was so fortunate to have such a great opportunity to visit the department of political science at the University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social for three weeks this January. Many thanks to Carl @chknutsen.bsky.social for the invitation and the University of Oslo for sponsoring it.

submitted 25 days ago • 2 comments

Leopard: I will eat your face Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp

submitted 26 days ago • 209 comments

Kids, let's review the two branches of government: -The President, who does whatever he wants -The Judiciary, which eventually decides whether what the President did was okay or not

submitted 30 days ago • 12 comments

NEW | Rwandan-backed M23 rebels are advancing towards Goma, a provincial capital in eastern DRC, and say they intend to capture the town. The move is a major escalation in the eastern DRC conflict and would exacerbate the already dire humanitarian situation in the area.🧵

submitted 34 days ago • 2 comments

NEW | The SAF continued to advance in northern Khartoum to relieve besieged SAF troops and dislodge the RSF from the capital. w/Sudan War Monitor 1/5

submitted 34 days ago • 1 comment

How do autocrats stay in power? Our new research dives into the strategies of political control—repression, co-optation, and indoctrination—used across 229 autocracies from 1946 to 2010. What we found will change the way you think about authoritarian resilience. 🧵👇

submitted 34 days ago • 88 comments

📢 New book chapter 🌟 👥 Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social (ISV) and Jan Teorell 🔎 Development and decline of democracies: the role of institutional factors 📗 Published in Handbook of Comparative Political Institutions, Edward Elgar Publishing doi.org/10.4337/9781...

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

📢 New book chapter 🌟 👥 Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social (ISV) and Svend-Erik Skaaning @skaaning.bsky.social 🔎 Economic development and autocratization 📗 Published in The Routledge Handbook of Autocratization, Routledge www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edi...

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

War is seemingly everywhere these days. Why does it occur? How do most disputes find peaceful resolutions? How can we systematically study human conflict? We will engage with these questions in the subject "STV2235". The auditorium is open to the public. Friday 08:15. www.uio.no/.../statsvit...

submitted 44 days ago • 3 comments