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chowderman.bsky.social
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Posts 7 Comments 43

The decline in oil prices is eroding the length of time #Russia can continue its invasion at existing levels. With European backing, Ukraine does not face this fiscal constraint, though has greater manpower limitations. What happens when the Kremlin is unable to pay soldier salaries is unclear.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

So Kinders: Jetzt beweist mal, dass Ihr echt seid! 😁

submitted 1 day ago • 3 comments

🧵 Several people have raised questions about what I meant by "deservedly so" when referring to the decline of institutional trust. It's a fair question, so I want to explain that, because it sits at the heart of my work on how democracies collapse when their epistemic foundations rot.

submitted 3 days ago • 37 comments

Whilst the GDP linked bonds are unfair to #Ukraine (GDP growth in 2023 was recovery from the initial invasion and moves to a war economy), there is scope for frozen Russian funds paying the bill as Russia created the abnormal conditions that triggered the payment.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Anders Puck Nielsen makes sum-up of the war 1. Russian summer offensive has started 2. Sumy must be protected or it becomes human safari city 3. Air war is changing - being only on defence will not be enough Thank you @anderspucknielsen.dk for your latest video 🙏 www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCE2...

submitted 5 days ago • 3 comments

Oh no we are living in an

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

“Ukraine is confident in its ability to wage this war, even if it would still prefer that outside support make the costs for them less human…it listens to its own counsel more & more as it finds itself beyond the edge of most Western military thinking.” Brilliant. www.greatpower.us/p/operationa...

submitted 8 days ago • 6 comments